Trump's Multi-dimensional Thinking Confounds his Critics

Many of President Trump's critics are unable or unwilling to understand his multi-dimensional thinking. Instead, they become fixated on individual components of his Iran policy instead grasping the strategic concepts involved.

For example, the timing of his attack was not solely based on a precise calculation of threat level. Although Iran's persistent production of offensive weapons made armed intervention inevitable, it did not lend itself to a specific date for the attack. Just like with the D-Day invasion, other factors (e.g., weather) had to line up to maximize the probability of success.

These factors included a general assessment of Iran's negotiating position and specific information about the whereabouts of Iran's top leadership. Taken together, these factors led to a rational conclusion as to when the attack would be most propitious. So far, this was a brilliant decision.
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Many of President Trump's critics are unable or unwilling to understand his multi-dimensional thinking. Instead, they become fixated on individual components of his Iran policy instead grasping the strategic concepts involved.

For example, the timing of his attack was not solely based on a precise calculation of threat level. Although Iran's persistent production of offensive weapons made armed intervention inevitable, it did not lend itself to a specific date for the attack. Just like with the D-Day invasion, other factors (e.g., weather) had to line up to maximize the probability of success.

These factors included a general assessment of Iran's negotiating position and specific information about the whereabouts of Iran's top leadership. Taken together, these factors led to a rational conclusion as to when the attack would be most propitious. So far, this was a brilliant decision.
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Look, there was no thinking here, at least in a a strategic military sense. Like I have said, it makes no damn sense, could not have picked a worse time. Politically, well even there, it is a questionable move, little to gain, everything to lose.

The status of our fleet, stretched thin and overworked utilizing aging equipment and faulty new equipment. New equipment falling behind schedule and over-running cost estimates. An Air Force that is at barely a 50 readiness level. And all the while, Trump is discarding missiles at an absolutely unsustainable pace.

They completely miscalculated Iran's ability to strike back, especially their use of drones. The Trump team, probably not the career military leadership, but the Trump team thought they could shock and awe their way to a quick victory. Now, it becomes increasingly apparent that we are in a protracted conflict. Strategic command has already asked people to expect September at best.

Boots on the ground are almost inevitable. We just don't have the munitions to conduct a long-term missile barrage. Already, we have switched away from the Tomahawks and went to less precise missiles. And we have no way to defend air superiority for an extended period of time against even a mid-level opponent.

Nope, this is China and Russia playing rope-a-dope with the US.
 
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Look, there was no thinking here, at least in a a strategic military sense. Like I have said, it makes no damn sense, could not have picked a worse time. Politically, well even there, it is a questionable move, little to gain, everything to lose.

The status of our fleet, stretched thin and overworked utilizing aging equipment and faulty new equipment. New equipment falling behind schedule and over-running cost estimates. An Air Force that is at barely a 50 readiness level. And all the while, Trump is discarding missiles at an absolutely unsustainable pace.

They completely miscalculated Iran's ability to strike back, especially their use of drones. The Trump team, probably not the career military leadership, but the Trump team thought they could shock and awe their way to a quick victory. Now, it becomes increasingly apparent that we are in a protracted conflict. Strategic command has already asked people to expect September at best.

Boots on the ground are almost inevitable. We just don't have the munitions to conduct a long-term missile barrage. Already, we have switched away from the Tomahawks and went to less precise missiles. And we have no way to defend air superiority for an extended period of time against even a mid-level opponent.

Nope, this is China and Russia playing rope-a-dope with the US.
You get a participation award for at least addressing the OP. However, you provide no substance other than unsupported conclusions and predictions. Want to try again?
 
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