Look, there was no thinking here, at least in a a strategic military sense. Like I have said, it makes no damn sense, could not have picked a worse time. Politically, well even there, it is a questionable move, little to gain, everything to lose.
The status of our fleet, stretched thin and overworked utilizing aging equipment and faulty new equipment. New equipment falling behind schedule and over-running cost estimates. An Air Force that is at barely a 50 readiness level. And all the while, Trump is discarding missiles at an absolutely unsustainable pace.
They completely miscalculated Iran's ability to strike back, especially their use of drones. The Trump team, probably not the career military leadership, but the Trump team thought they could shock and awe their way to a quick victory. Now, it becomes increasingly apparent that we are in a protracted conflict. Strategic command has already asked people to expect September at best.
Boots on the ground are almost inevitable. We just don't have the munitions to conduct a long-term missile barrage. Already, we have switched away from the Tomahawks and went to less precise missiles. And we have no way to defend air superiority for an extended period of time against even a mid-level opponent.
Nope, this is China and Russia playing rope-a-dope with the US.