Trump's Multi-dimensional Thinking Confounds his Critics

Many of President Trump's critics are unable or unwilling to understand his multi-dimensional thinking. Instead, they become fixated on individual components of his Iran policy instead grasping the strategic concepts involved.

For example, the timing of his attack was not solely based on a precise calculation of threat level. Although Iran's persistent production of offensive weapons made armed intervention inevitable, it did not lend itself to a specific date for the attack. Just like with the D-Day invasion, other factors (e.g., weather) had to line up to maximize the probability of success.

These factors included a general assessment of Iran's negotiating position and specific information about the whereabouts of Iran's top leadership. Taken together, these factors led to a rational conclusion as to when the attack would be most propitious. So far, this was a brilliant decision.
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Many of President Trump's critics are unable or unwilling to understand his multi-dimensional thinking. Instead, they become fixated on individual components of his Iran policy instead grasping the strategic concepts involved.

For example, the timing of his attack was not solely based on a precise calculation of threat level. Although Iran's persistent production of offensive weapons made armed intervention inevitable, it did not lend itself to a specific date for the attack. Just like with the D-Day invasion, other factors (e.g., weather) had to line up to maximize the probability of success.

These factors included a general assessment of Iran's negotiating position and specific information about the whereabouts of Iran's top leadership. Taken together, these factors led to a rational conclusion as to when the attack would be most propitious. So far, this was a brilliant decision.
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Look, there was no thinking here, at least in a a strategic military sense. Like I have said, it makes no damn sense, could not have picked a worse time. Politically, well even there, it is a questionable move, little to gain, everything to lose.

The status of our fleet, stretched thin and overworked utilizing aging equipment and faulty new equipment. New equipment falling behind schedule and over-running cost estimates. An Air Force that is at barely a 50 readiness level. And all the while, Trump is discarding missiles at an absolutely unsustainable pace.

They completely miscalculated Iran's ability to strike back, especially their use of drones. The Trump team, probably not the career military leadership, but the Trump team thought they could shock and awe their way to a quick victory. Now, it becomes increasingly apparent that we are in a protracted conflict. Strategic command has already asked people to expect September at best.

Boots on the ground are almost inevitable. We just don't have the munitions to conduct a long-term missile barrage. Already, we have switched away from the Tomahawks and went to less precise missiles. And we have no way to defend air superiority for an extended period of time against even a mid-level opponent.

Nope, this is China and Russia playing rope-a-dope with the US.
 
How many hotels have you built

The Worst Businessman in America​

The revelations about Trump's taxes prove he was a grifter and a fraud, a braggart and a blowhard. In other words, he was the same man he is today.​

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Look, there was no thinking here, at least in a a strategic military sense. Like I have said, it makes no damn sense, could not have picked a worse time. Politically, well even there, it is a questionable move, little to gain, everything to lose.

The status of our fleet, stretched thin and overworked utilizing aging equipment and faulty new equipment. New equipment falling behind schedule and over-running cost estimates. An Air Force that is at barely a 50 readiness level. And all the while, Trump is discarding missiles at an absolutely unsustainable pace.

They completely miscalculated Iran's ability to strike back, especially their use of drones. The Trump team, probably not the career military leadership, but the Trump team thought they could shock and awe their way to a quick victory. Now, it becomes increasingly apparent that we are in a protracted conflict. Strategic command has already asked people to expect September at best.

Boots on the ground are almost inevitable. We just don't have the munitions to conduct a long-term missile barrage. Already, we have switched away from the Tomahawks and went to less precise missiles. And we have no way to defend air superiority for an extended period of time against even a mid-level opponent.

Nope, this is China and Russia playing rope-a-dope with the US.
You get a participation award for at least addressing the OP. However, you provide no substance other than unsupported conclusions and predictions. Want to try again?
 
I have bankrupted less than he has.
Its what you are today that matters. Trump is president and has changed the balance of power in the world to favor America democracy and capitalism. What have you done?
 
15th post
You get a participation award for at least addressing the OP. However, you provide no substance other than unsupported conclusions and predictions. Want to try again?
“America’s Navy: Doing More with Less.”

Nowhere is this overstretching more evident and consequential than in the Indo-Pacific, where U.S. aircraft, ships, and submarines square off against China’s burgeoning maritime strength. The People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) outnumbers forward-deployed U.S. Seventh Fleet ships by 5.3 to 1.1 Even the broader Pacific Fleet, which remains weeks away from potential East Asian hotspots, faces a 1.85 to 1 disadvantage.2

This disparity empowers China to assert its maritime ambitions by disregarding international norms, pressuring U.S. allies, and eroding U.S. regional influence from the South China Sea to the Indian Ocean.


For the first time since the collapse of the Soviet Union, the United States faces a true peer potential adversary in China and an unprecedented array of threats from others, including nuclear-armed Russia and North Korea and a near-nuclear power in Iran. Yet at the very moment when the nation most needs a ready, capable, deterrent force, its Air Force is in crisis. Its dwindling capacity and readiness are undermining its ability to deter or defeat competitors’ aggression. Because today’s Air Force is the oldest, smallest, and least ready in its history, it is becoming unable to simultaneously fight a peer adversary and fend off threats elsewhere around the globe.
-With 400 missiles fired from Navy destroyers and submarines in three days, the U.S. has consumed a decade of production at current rates.
 
“America’s Navy: Doing More with Less.”

Nowhere is this overstretching more evident and consequential than in the Indo-Pacific, where U.S. aircraft, ships, and submarines square off against China’s burgeoning maritime strength. The People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) outnumbers forward-deployed U.S. Seventh Fleet ships by 5.3 to 1.1 Even the broader Pacific Fleet, which remains weeks away from potential East Asian hotspots, faces a 1.85 to 1 disadvantage.2

This disparity empowers China to assert its maritime ambitions by disregarding international norms, pressuring U.S. allies, and eroding U.S. regional influence from the South China Sea to the Indian Ocean.


For the first time since the collapse of the Soviet Union, the United States faces a true peer potential adversary in China and an unprecedented array of threats from others, including nuclear-armed Russia and North Korea and a near-nuclear power in Iran. Yet at the very moment when the nation most needs a ready, capable, deterrent force, its Air Force is in crisis. Its dwindling capacity and readiness are undermining its ability to deter or defeat competitors’ aggression. Because today’s Air Force is the oldest, smallest, and least ready in its history, it is becoming unable to simultaneously fight a peer adversary and fend off threats elsewhere around the globe.
-With 400 missiles fired from Navy destroyers and submarines in three days, the U.S. has consumed a decade of production at current rates.
China is reevaluating its position after watching America in Iran and Venezuela. China has no defense against our subs and their economy is weak and in decline. Their technology is inferior and their military has zero experience.
 
Many of President Trump's critics are unable or unwilling to understand his multi-dimensional thinking. Instead, they become fixated on individual components of his Iran policy instead grasping the strategic concepts involved.

For example, the timing of his attack was not solely based on a precise calculation of threat level. Although Iran's persistent production of offensive weapons made armed intervention inevitable, it did not lend itself to a specific date for the attack. Just like with the D-Day invasion, other factors (e.g., weather) had to line up to maximize the probability of success.

These factors included a general assessment of Iran's negotiating position and specific information about the whereabouts of Iran's top leadership. Taken together, these factors led to a rational conclusion as to when the attack would be most propitious. So far, this was a brilliant decision.
The child-like simplicity of Dotard's thinking can be boiled down to one thing. "What's in it for me?"
 
China is reevaluating its position after watching America in Iran and Venezuela. China has no defense against our subs and their economy is weak and in decline. Their technology is inferior and their military has zero experience.
I don't think they are reevaluating anything. Sure they have a defense against our subs, AI integrated systems. And the J20 has been pretty impressive. We are a couple years away from being able to adequately defend air superiority over any given theater in the Pacific.

I mean no one seems to get it. In one week, one week, Trump unloaded years worth of production. You can bet, China is evaluating.
 
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