Trump tariffs to hit small farms in Maga heartlands hardest, analysis predicts

[jc456]

You want the study?

Purdue Survey: Farmers More Optimistic About Ag Economy Despite Tariff Concerns

A new survey from Purdue University says that America’s farmers are more optimistic about current and future conditions on their farms despite recent concerns over President Trump’s tariff strategy and lower commodity prices. Notably, a majority of

www.hoosieragtoday.com

Despite a rise in investment sentiment, nearly two-thirds of producers in April’s survey still said it was a bad time to invest, suggesting persistent caution among a majority of U.S. farmers. That group’s outlook helps explain the sharp decrease in new farm equipment sales that took place during 2025's first quarter. According to the Association of Equipment Manufacturers, sales of tractors with over 100 horsepower fell 19% in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, while new combine sales were down 38% from a year earlier.

snip

Expectations for short-term farmland values weakened in April, as the index fell 8 points to a reading of 110. This change was driven by a decrease in the number of producers anticipating higher farmland values in the coming year, balanced by a comparable increase in the percentage of producers expecting values to remain about the same.

The April survey included several questions focused on the impact of the U.S.’s tariff policy on U.S. agriculture. Even with the improvement in overall sentiment, farmers remain concerned about the near-term effects of U.S. trade policy. Over half (56%) of respondents said they expect the U.S. tariff policy to have a negative or very negative impact on their farm’s income in 2025, and 53% anticipate some difficulty in obtaining inputs as a result of higher import tariffs. Among those expecting supply challenges, fertilizer was the primary cited concern, followed by parts for farm machinery and electronics and crop chemicals.

Purdue University-CME Group Ag Economy Barometer

Farmer sentiment improved in April as the Purdue University-CME Group Ag Economy Barometer climbed 8 points to a reading of 148.

ag.purdue.edu

The April survey included several questions focused on the impact of the U.S.’s tariff policy on U.S. agriculture. Although sentiment improved in April, farmers are still concerned that the U.S. government’s tariff policy will have a negative impact on farm incomes. Fifty-six percent of respondents to the April survey said they think the U.S. tariff policy will have either a negative or very negative impact on their farm’s income in 2025. In a related question, just over half (53%) of producers expect the increase in tariffs on imports to make it more difficult to obtain inputs from their suppliers this year. Producers who expect some difficulty in obtaining inputs pointed to three main areas of concern: fertilizer, parts for farm machinery and electronics and crop chemicals. Despite the concerns farmers expressed in the April survey about the impact of tariffs on farm incomes and availability of inputs for their farm operations, 70% of respondents said they expect the increased use of tariffs will, in the long run, strengthen the U.S. agricultural economy.

 

[WelfareQueen]

Trump tariffs to hit small farms in Maga heartlands hardest, analysis predicts

Major corporations are best placed to benefit from Trump polices at the expense of independent farmers

www.theguardian.com

Its good that maga farmers will feel the worst of trumps tariff nonsense.

But its not good that farm bankruptcies will see consolidation of the sector into large corporate agribusiness.
I doubt even the frothiest maga voted for that.
Its also good that team trump is working on a bail out package. But this will likely benefit the donor class rather than the small farmer.

Farm bankruptcies surged by 24% from 2018 to 2019 – the highest number in almost a decade – as retaliatory tariffs cost US farmers a staggering $27bn.

Im sure it will be ok this time.

These assholes are always wrong. Gas prices are down, eggs are down, and inflation is at a 4 year low. The cool thing about the Left is that they are literally always wrong. Can anyone say Maryland Dad?

 

[Winston]

Purdue University-CME Group Ag Economy Barometer

Farmer sentiment improved in April as the Purdue University-CME Group Ag Economy Barometer climbed 8 points to a reading of 148.

ag.purdue.edu

The April survey included several questions focused on the impact of the U.S.’s tariff policy on U.S. agriculture. Although sentiment improved in April, farmers are still concerned that the U.S. government’s tariff policy will have a negative impact on farm incomes. Fifty-six percent of respondents to the April survey said they think the U.S. tariff policy will have either a negative or very negative impact on their farm’s income in 2025. In a related question, just over half (53%) of producers expect the increase in tariffs on imports to make it more difficult to obtain inputs from their suppliers this year. Producers who expect some difficulty in obtaining inputs pointed to three main areas of concern: fertilizer, parts for farm machinery and electronics and crop chemicals. Despite the concerns farmers expressed in the April survey about the impact of tariffs on farm incomes and availability of inputs for their farm operations, 70% of respondents said they expect the increased use of tariffs will, in the long run, strengthen the U.S. agricultural economy.

I saw that, just not seeing it. Like I said, we run a surplus with agriculture exports. Seems like we are addressing a problem that doesn't exist. I believe the OP is right, this will only result in the further consolidation of our food supply chain into industrial operations. Not a good thing, actually, dangerous. Brazil controls our beef, China controls our pork, and that is all domestically produced, no tariffs. JBS, Tyson, they are the big players. They dominate the market.

 

[jc456]

I saw that, just not seeing it. Like I said, we run a surplus with agriculture exports. Seems like we are addressing a problem that doesn't exist. I believe the OP is right, this will only result in the further consolidation of our food supply chain into industrial operations. Not a good thing, actually, dangerous. Brazil controls our beef, China controls our pork, and that is all domestically produced, no tariffs. JBS, Tyson, they are the big players. They dominate the market.

Hilarious, more evidence demofks speak out both sides of their mouths. you see it, but you don't see it. hilarious. Can't make up your kind of shit.

 

[Winston]

Hilarious, more evidence demofks speak out both sides of their mouths. you see it, but you don't see it. hilarious. Can't make up your kind of shit.

I got to be up front. I have a lifetime of experience in the food supply chain. Born in a farming family, working retail as an adult. Sure, I made the big money in finance, but as soon as I could, I got out. Now I am responsible for millions of dollars a week in protein sales. It is a passion, a calling. I run the meat side of the biggest wholesale supplier of food in the country. Out on leave, hernia operation yesterday.

Yes, I saw that number. And yes, I really don't see it, and few people are more qualified than me. And it really does boil down to the basics. Sure, I can negotiate price, deal with massive suppliers, but you don't want to compete with me in the field. Just last week, visited my grandkids, we went to a strawberry field, pick your own. A gallon, twenty bucks, ten minutes for me. Cotton, get out of here. A slave was expected to pick a hundred pounds a day. I got tired of my Dad crying about picking cotton, hit the field, over 200 pounds. He never said a word about it again.

 

[jc456]

I got to be up front. I have a lifetime of experience in the food supply chain. Born in a farming family, working retail as an adult. Sure, I made the big money in finance, but as soon as I could, I got out. Now I am responsible for millions of dollars a week in protein sales. It is a passion, a calling. I run the meat side of the biggest wholesale supplier of food in the country. Out on leave, hernia operation yesterday.

Yes, I saw that number. And yes, I really don't see it, and few people are more qualified than me. And it really does boil down to the basics. Sure, I can negotiate price, deal with massive suppliers, but you don't want to compete with me in the field. Just last week, visited my grandkids, we went to a strawberry field, pick your own. A gallon, twenty bucks, ten minutes for me. Cotton, get out of here. A slave was expected to pick a hundred pounds a day. I got tired of my Dad crying about picking cotton, hit the field, over 200 pounds. He never said a word about it again.

that you repeat it is amazingly stupid. How's that anything other than word salad? Again, wasn't the point of the post, the point was that 70% of farmers look for tariffs to strengthen their business. I truly don't give a shit what you say. You weren't the study.

 

[kyzr]

Stupid fucks think they will bullshit farmers away from Trump's base.

I still see Trump signs everywhere I go.

 

[jc456]

Stupid fucks think they will bullshit farmers away from Trump's base.

I still see Trump signs everywhere I go.

again, 70% of the farmers agree with him. April study by Purdue.

 

[Winston]

that you repeat it is amazingly stupid. How's that anything other than word salad? Again, wasn't the point of the post, the point was that 70% of farmers look for tariffs to strengthen their business. I truly don't give a shit what you say. You weren't the study.

Dude, these are farmers. Not a more optimistic group of people on the planet. Like I said, I see it, I understand it, but I don't see it. Doesn't make sense. Again, we run a surplus when it comes to agriculture. I mean hell, we have been down this road before. Trump's tariffs in his first administration devasted farmers and they were granted millions of dollars of taxpayer money to get them through.

I mean until you have 500 acres of soybeans don't even talk to me about tariffs and China. Brazil is more than happy to step in and fill the void for China. Until you handle about seven million dollars a week in meat and seafood sales, don't talk to me about tariffs. I mean seafood is the big thing. Lobsters, it started immediately. Wholesale cost, about $14 a pound, then the tariffs hit. It is an even mix, some produced domestically, some from Canada. Now, wholesale cost is approaching $20 a pound. Domestic producers simply matched the cost of Canada. Nothing changed, except the price.

 

[jc456]

Dude, these are farmers. Not a more optimistic group of people on the planet. Like I said, I see it, I understand it, but I don't see it. Doesn't make sense. Again, we run a surplus when it comes to agriculture. I mean hell, we have been down this road before. Trump's tariffs in his first administration devasted farmers and they were granted millions of dollars of taxpayer money to get them through.

I mean until you have 500 acres of soybeans don't even talk to me about tariffs and China. Brazil is more than happy to step in and fill the void for China. Until you handle about seven million dollars a week in meat and seafood sales, don't talk to me about tariffs. I mean seafood is the big thing. Lobsters, it started immediately. Wholesale cost, about $14 a pound, then the tariffs hit. It is an even mix, some produced domestically, some from Canada. Now, wholesale cost is approaching $20 a pound. Domestic producers simply matched the cost of Canada. Nothing changed, except the price.

still not seeing how that changes the intent of the post. you're arguing something I don't give a rats ass about from your opinion. keep your asshole.

 

[jwoodie]

Public confidence surveys are a closed loop system wherein people are constantly told they should be worried and then asked if they are worried. The good news is that this teaches them to not trust pollsters or the media.

 

[jc456]

Public confidence surveys are a closed loop system wherein people are constantly told they should be worried and then asked if they are worried. The good news is that this teaches them to not trust pollsters or the media.

Again, it’s in the delivery of the question