Hafar1014
Diamond Member
- Sep 1, 2010
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GDPNow
GDPNow forecasting model provides a "nowcast" of the official estimate prior to its release by estimating GDP growth using a methodology similar to the one used by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis.
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 5.4 percent on January 26, unchanged from January 22 after rounding. After this morning’s advance durable manufacturing report from the US Census Bureau, the nowcasts of fourth-quarter personal consumption expenditures growth and fourth-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth increased from 3.1 percent and 6.2 percent, respectively, to 3.2 percent and 6.4 percent.
So where are the tariff disaster people now?
