If a moron goes short because Q2 2018 earnings increased by less than the 20% increase in Q1 2018, they deserve to miss the future gains.
There won't be future gains because you've done nothing to increase sales and revenue. All you've done is make the company more profitable, but not more successful. Profits aren't an indicator of economic growth...
REVENUES ARE. That's always been the case. So you can prime the market all you'd like, it's not going to increase consumer demand in any way that leads to an increase in sales and revenue for your business. They teach this stuff in Econ 101...so what's your excuse for getting it so wrong? And shareholders
definitely look at quarterly profit growth as an indicator of whether or not they're going to short the stock, as you say. If you go from a 21% growth in profits to a 1% growth, then the share price goes from what it was with a 21% profit growth
down to the value of 1% profit growth. Share prices are the measurement of the value of a company's
future worth. If the future worth of the company goes from 21% increase in profits down to a 1% increase, then the future worth of the company
also goes down. That is what causes a bear market. We saw it play out in 1928-9, 1988-9, 2000-1, and 2007-8.
I sincerely hope you don't do any trading on the market, because you clearly don't know what you're doing or talking about. It's really sad.
If a moron like you already realizes that Q2 quarter-over-quarter growth will be less than 20%, why in the hell do you think CEO/CFOs or the market will be surprised?
Because shareholders don't look at trends like this...they look at comparatively quarterly earnings
in a vacuum. The context you think exists doesn't. It never has and it never will.
And furthermore, if you're saying that profit increases will return to the rates they were prior to the tax cut, then all that proves is that the tax cut didn't increase revenues and sales. So you can't claim that the tax cut spurred growth
if growth returns to the rate it was prior to the tax cut. All you've done is prime the market for a massive sell-off and transformation from bull to bear, while adding at least $1.5T to the debt (the thing you screeched about for 8 years during Obama like some kind of rabid barnyard animal)...
YOU FUCKING IGNORANT, ARROGANT, DUPLICITOUS MORON.
If a moron like you understands that the profit increase was due to the tax cut,
why is the market ignorant of that fact?
So the profit increase was thanks to the tax cut and
not the economic growth that was used to sell the tax cut in the first place. Remember, you all said that cutting the corporate profit tax would lead to astounding growth. Now you're telling me that growth will return to the levels it was at before the tax cut,
one quarter later. So since growth will just simply return to what it was before the tax cut,
then that means the tax cut was completely unnecessary and destructive because it prompts a switch to a bear market. Remember, the share price increases because of the anticipation of future earnings
at that rate. So when the earnings don't grow at that rate, the share price gets lowered to reflect that. What you morons have done is prime the market to do exactly that...so here's what's gonna happen:
1. Q1 2018 profits are going to be terrific, astronomical, outstanding, great. The market will soar, share prices will rise, and everyone will be happy until...
2. Q2 2018 profits come in at increases far below that of the previous quarter.
3. Since earnings will come in at a rate significantly below the rate for Q1, the market will "correct" itself accordingly by transforming from a bull to a bear and when that happens we will get...
4. A
recession.
The 21% increase in after tax earnings doesn't go away after the first quarter.
Yes, it does. Because you're not cutting the tax rate every quarter. And you just said in your post that
earnings for Q1 are due entirely to the tax cut, and not to economic growth
generated by the tax cut, like you promise and hypothesize. So you'll probably make the same profit you made in Q1, but there will be negligible growth in revenues because you've done nothing to increase consumer demand which increases revenues and sales, which is what makes a company profitable. Then you theorize that trickle-down philosophy, that somehow increasing after-tax profits will translate to pre-tax expansion...and you assume consistent growth which, why? Why do you assume the company will grow earnings at
any rate if the company's not increasing revenues collected, and quarterly profit growth returns to the levels it was prior to the cut?
The company that earned $100 a share in 2017 is going to earn $121 in 2018, $121 in 2019 and $121 in 2020, even if revenues and margins remain exactly the same, that's not a reason to sell your shares. Idiot.
Why do you think the share price stays the same if quarterly earnings rates decline? You know nothing, Jon Snow. The share price is the reflection of the company's
future growth and profitability. If the company's growth doesn't maintain the levels that prompted the share price to rise, what do you think happens to the share price!?!?!?
So say Company X's share price is $50, then the company's profit grows by 21% in Q1 because of the tax cut, so investors buy the stock and increase the share price to, for the sake of argument, $75,
because the company had a huge gain in profits. Then Q2's earnings come in and Company X's profits only grow 1%, so what happens to the $75 stock price, then? It fucking falls because the company's future prospective increases to profit aren't going to be as high as they were in Q1...so yes, you're going to see people shorting the company. Just like you're going to see investors shorting the stock market because
all corporations will see this happen.