In order to not deflect from any of the other abortion threads I am starting this one to deal with the facts and figures rather than the morality of abortion.
First let's put the facts on the table as provided by the Guttmacher Institute;
Facts on Induced Abortion in the United States
INCIDENCE OF ABORTION
Nearly half of pregnancies among American women are unintended, and about four in 10 of these are terminated by abortion.[1] Twenty-two percent of all pregnancies (excluding miscarriages) end in abortion.[2]
Forty percent of pregnancies among white women, 67% among blacks and 53% among Hispanics are unintended.[1]
In 2008, 1.21 million abortions were performed, down from 1.31 million in 2000. However, between 2005 and 2008, the long-term decline in abortions stalled. From 1973 through 2008, nearly 50 million legal abortions occurred.[2]
Each year, two percent of women aged 1544 have an abortion. Half have had at least one previous abortion.[2,3]
Forty-two percent of women obtaining abortions have incomes below 100% of the federal poverty level ($10,830 for a single woman with no children).[6]
Twenty-seven percent of women obtaining abortions have incomes between 100199% of the federal poverty level.* [6]
So if 40% of unintended pregnancies result in 1.2 million abortions that means that there are about 3 million unintended pregnancies every year.
69% of those 1.2 million abortions are for women earning less than twice the Federal poverty level. (42 + 27 = 69)
5 states have enacted laws making it much more difficult to obtain an abortion and TX is about to become the 6th state. So given that low income women probably don't have financial resources to travel out of state they are probably going to end up giving birth instead. As a rough estimate that means that 7% of the current rate of abortions will not be performed and this will result in more live births.
So those 5 states can anticipate an increase of 84,000 additional unwanted children into low income families each and every year from now on.
So what does this mean to the states themselves?
From an infrastructure perspective it will mean that there will be an increase in the number of ER visits and/or enrollments into SCHIP. This will be followed by an increase in demands on the school districts. These won't simply be more classrooms and teachers but also more janitors, counselors, cafeterias, supplies, etc, etc.
Once the eldest of these "pro-life" children graduate from high school (by now there are 1.5 million of them and counting) they will need jobs. Without jobs there will probably be an increase in crime rates. Increased crime leads to more police, courts and prisons.
So where is the money coming from to pay for all of these increased costs in these 5 states?
Who is going to shoulder the "pro-life" tax burden?
Please remember that this is not a question of the "morality" regarding abortions but the instead the very real financial consequences of this legislation. In essence this is an "unfunded mandate" that is being imposed upon the taxpayers of these states.
How willing are the taxpayers to pay the price for these policies?
But wait, there's more!
Given that these children are all born into low income families there will be Federal Welfare in the form of food stamp programs. This means that all taxpayers will be paying for these "pro-life" policies.
The current federal spending levels are already a problem but these "pro-life" policies are just going to increase the demand on these programs.
So there are very real unintended tax consequences that stem from restricting abortions. They will result in increased government spending at both state and federal levels. The argument can be made that you cannot put a price on a human life. However if government spending needs to be cut are taxpayers going to literally take the food out of the mouths of the babes that some have insisted must be given life?
This is a conundrum that deserves a fair and honest debate.
Please provide your opinions and feedback. Thank you.