THE POLL THREAD! polls polls polls polls polls polls polls

[basquebromance]

Wonderful Donald's leadin Crooked Hillary in Florida!

 

[Kristian]

Real good new in real Poll or Which is in real time?!

 

[basquebromance]

KRISTIAN IS HAVIN A STROKE! HEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEELP!

 

[Kristian]

He take two state tonight.

 

[basquebromance]

Crooked Hillary is tied in Nevada, a state Crooked Barack won twice

Hillary Clinton faces big challenges in Nevada, where Barack Obama won twice Clinton faces big challenges in state Obama won twice - CNNPolitics.com

 

[NYcarbineer]

Wonderful Donald's leadin Crooked Hillary in Florida!

Clinton is ahead by 3.6 in Florida.

 

[basquebromance]

I HAVE NO INTENTION OF ARGUING ABOUT POLL WITH A NEOLIBERAL JEW CROOK.

GOOD DAY, SIR. OR MADAM.

 

[basquebromance]

Poll numbers are starting to look very good. Leading in Florida Arizona and big jump in Utah. All numbers rising, national way up. Wow!

 

[basquebromance]

rip HRC

 

[basquebromance]

Hillary’s Schedule as Secretary of State Will Not Be Released Until After Election, Pay to Play

 

[Old Rocks]

Polling Data
Poll Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread
RCP Average 8/4 - 8/24 -- -- 44.3 41.6 Clinton +2.7
Mason-Dixon* 8/22 - 8/24 625 LV 4.0 44 42 Clinton +2
Florida Atlantic University* 8/19 - 8/22 1200 LV 2.7 41 43 Trump +2
FL Chamber 8/17 - 8/22 608 LV 4.0 43 44 Trump +1
Monmouth* 8/12 - 8/15 402 LV 4.9 48 39 Clinton +9
CBS News/YouGov* 8/10 - 8/12 1194 LV 3.6 45 40 Clinton +5
FOX 13/Opinion Savvy* 8/10 - 8/10 622 LV 4.0 45 44 Clinton +1
NBC/WSJ/Marist 8/4 - 8/10 862 RV 3.3 44 39 Clinton +5

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Florida: Trump vs. Clinton

Reality

 

[Old Rocks]

Polling Data
Poll Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread
RCP Average 7/30 - 8/24 -- -- 45.0 36.0 Clinton +9.0
Suffolk University* 8/22 - 8/24 500 lv 4.4 44 37 Clinton +7
FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell 8/9 - 8/10 1314 LV 2.7 49 39 Clinton +10
WXYZ-TV/Detroit Free Press 7/30 - 8/4 600 LV 4.0 46 36 Clinton +10
Detroit News/WDIV-TV* 7/30 - 8/1 600 LV 4.0 41 32 Clinton +9
All Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton Polling Data
RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton

More reality

 

[Old Rocks]

Polling Data
Poll Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread
RCP Average 7/31 - 8/23 -- -- 45.5 43.8 Clinton +1.7
CNN/ORC 8/18 - 8/23 803 LV 3.5 48 47 Clinton +1
Monmouth* 8/20 - 8/23 401 LV 4.9 44 42 Clinton +2
Gravis 8/15 - 8/17 723 RV 3.6 44 43 Clinton +1
NBC/WSJ/Marist 8/4 - 8/10 921 RV 3.2 48 39 Clinton +9
PPP (D) 8/5 - 8/7 830 LV 3.4 47 46 Clinton +1
Civitas/SurveyUSA* 7/31 - 8/2 400 LV 5.0 42 46 Trump +4

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - North Carolina: Trump vs. Clinton

The North Carolina, the South is going blue.

 

[Old Rocks]

Polling Data
Poll Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread
RCP Average 7/7 - 8/17 -- -- 43.3 41.0 Clinton +2.3
Suffolk University* 8/15 - 8/17 500 LV 4.4 44 42 Clinton +2
CBS News/YouGov* 8/2 - 8/5 993 LV 4.6 43 41 Clinton +2
KTNV/Rasmussen* 7/29 - 7/31 750 LV 4.0 41 40 Clinton +1
Monmouth* 7/7 - 7/10 408 LV 4.9 45 41 Clinton +4

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Nevada: Trump vs. Clinton

Man, what happened to you? Most Basquo I have met were pretty smart fellow.

 

[basquebromance]

Does anyone know that Crooked Hillary, who tried so hard, was unable to pass the Bar Exams in Washington D.C. She was forced to go elsewhere

 

[basquebromance]

Oh my: New poll shows Ohio tied, Pennsylvania and Michigan tightening - Hot Air

 

[basquebromance]

thank you America!

 

[longknife]

What If All the Polls Are Wrong?



I hate all this polling crap and swore I'd stay away from it. I clearly believe the only ones that count are in the polling booths. But, I couldn't pass this one up.



New voter registration is surging in several swing states and appears to be lopsided in favor of the Republican Party. Moreover, a recent analysis of absentee ballots in Florida reveals an unprecedented number of low-propensity voters registered this year — presumably to support the outsider candidate (hint: It’s not Hillary Clinton).



And, as the article points out, these people aren't being polled.



Story @ What If All the Polls Are Wrong?

 

[basquebromance]

Trump on Romney: “Oh, I was just like everybody else. I was watching it. I heard — I mean, it was too bad but I didn't run, it wasn't me that was running. Had they used me in a few of the states that he lost, he would have won those states. But they didn't do that. They used me in the primaries in five states — every single state that he used me, I won. I made speeches and I did robocalls. Every single state I won. In the general, they didn't use me — which was fine with me, I'm busy, you know, I'm always busy. But they didn't use my services and they should have and I would have won. I tell ya: I would have won Florida and that would have won him the election if he won Florida. But I would have done great there, I would have done great in Pennsylvania, you know, places he lost, we could have won. But they chose not to use my services — which was fine with me because I’m very busy, you know. But I was invited to the party and I felt that it was too bad. This was a great opportunity to win.”

 

[mamooth]

Monmouth University

Aug 26-29, 2016
Clinton +7 nationally
Clinton +8 in Pennsylvania

538 gives Monmouth a pollster rating of A+, based on past performance.

FiveThirtyEight's Pollster Ratings

PA would be one of those "Trump has to win it" states.

This election isn't close. Republicans need to stop deluding themselves that it is.