JimBowie1958
Old Fogey
- Sep 25, 2011
- 63,590
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1) A plurality of voters self- identify as conservative at 37%, while moderates come in at 35%, with liberals coming in at 24%
So it makes sense that the Nixon strategy of going to the party base till he got the nomination, then swing back out to tthe middle in the general election, that this generally worked.
But for Democrats their base is always raring to go and to appease them then try to go back to the middle ground leaves a bad taste in the mouth of a lot of people. It generally does not work as countless failed Democrat POTUS candidates can tell you.
2) The Senate will be a toss up with most incumbents winning as usual, the two exceptions being Susan Collins and Jones in Alabama.
But Trump had coat tails in 2016 and he might again this election.
3) The house looks like it will flip back to Republican control. in 2018 18 million Republicans did not vote that did vote in 2016, while only 4 million Dems sat out.
The Republicans will all be back this year and the GOP has made some strategic selections that will likely bring them back the house.
4) Biden is way too far left for the moderates and all the conservative base will show. Biden is going to lose in a landslide, with > 350 electoral votes.
By election time, COVID19 will be a memory, the economy will be back and indictments should have been well received.
So it makes sense that the Nixon strategy of going to the party base till he got the nomination, then swing back out to tthe middle in the general election, that this generally worked.
But for Democrats their base is always raring to go and to appease them then try to go back to the middle ground leaves a bad taste in the mouth of a lot of people. It generally does not work as countless failed Democrat POTUS candidates can tell you.
2) The Senate will be a toss up with most incumbents winning as usual, the two exceptions being Susan Collins and Jones in Alabama.
2020 Senate Races
Track the 2020 Senate election with a red/blue map of the US updated daily using the latest state polls.
www.electoral-vote.com
But Trump had coat tails in 2016 and he might again this election.
3) The house looks like it will flip back to Republican control. in 2018 18 million Republicans did not vote that did vote in 2016, while only 4 million Dems sat out.
The Republicans will all be back this year and the GOP has made some strategic selections that will likely bring them back the house.
4) Biden is way too far left for the moderates and all the conservative base will show. Biden is going to lose in a landslide, with > 350 electoral votes.
By election time, COVID19 will be a memory, the economy will be back and indictments should have been well received.