The Key To Victory...The White Working Class
Actually its a key to certain defeat for the GOP/TPM to ignore the Black and Hispanic working class, and indeed provides further confirmation as to the racist elements that exist in both.
Ridiculous the Republicans do not need the minority vote and can never get a significant amount of it no matter how far to the left they tilt.
GOP Does Not Have a Hispanic Problem it has a White Problem
by Peter Brimelow April 16, 2013
Everyone knows that the Republican Party needs to extend amnesty to 12-20 million illegal aliens in order to win the Hispanic vote. Right?
But, to quote Josh Billings: Its not what you dont know that gets you into trouble. Its what you know for sure that just aint so.
And its not just that Hispanics will never vote Republican anywaybecause they are poor and naturally like government redistribution, and because they have eyes and can see that Marco Rubio is a white Cuban, not a Mexican.
Both those things are true, of course, but the real reason the current Hispanic hysteria is wrong is that there simply arent that many Hispanic voters. Whites will continue to dominate the U.S. electorate for the foreseeable future.
And its whitesespecially the white working class, above all in the Northwho are up for grabs.
Hispanics cast perhaps 10 percent of the votes in the 2012 presidential election. (All these numbers are a little fuzzy because exit polling is inexact.) Whites cast 72 percent.
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But at least everybody knows that Hispanic immigration (legal andshhh!illegal) has made California a Democratic stronghold. Right?
Again, incredibly, this is something that everybody knows that, to quote Billings again, just aint so. Romney got just 48 percent of the white vote in California in 2012, according to Reuters/ Ipsos. McCain got a mere 46 percent in 2008.
Quite obviously, the GOP cannot carry California if it cant carry the white vote.
Indeed, the amazing truth is that the demographics of California are not much more unfavorable to the GOP than the demographics of Texas.
In 2012, 22 percent of Californias votes were cast by Hispanics, 55 percent by whites.
And 20 percent of Texas votes were cast by Hispanics, 63 percent by whites. (An estimate based on the 2008 exit pollsexit polls werent taken in Texas in 2012.)
But the GOP carried Texas 57 percent vs. 41 percent. It lost California 60 percent to 37 percent. The difference: Texas whites voted 76 percent for the GOP.
Even a small increase in the GOPs share of the white vote would swamp any conceivable increase in its share of the Hispanic vote.
And theres plenty of room for an increase. GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney got only about 57 percent of whites in 2012 fatally less than the 60 percent congressional Republicans got in the tea-party mid-term election in 2010.
In contrast, Ronald Reagan got a 64 percent white share in 1984. Richard Nixon got 67 percent back in 1972.
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Indeed, even if immigration continues at current levels, the GOP could still win the 2052 presidential electionif it could increase its white share to 70 percent.
Remember, that would be only 3 points higher that Richard Nixons white share in 1972. {snip}
On the other hand, theres a whole tier of largely white Northern statesbasically Greater New England, from Portland, Maine to Portland, Ore.where Romney underperformed, because his white share was significantly below average.
Thus Romney lost the six key Midwest statesPennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin because his white share averaged 52 percent6 points below the national average.
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Above all, Romney did particularly badly among the white working class in these six states. Thus he did only 2 points worse among whites with college degrees in the six states than he did nationally. But among the white some college component, he came in 6 points worse than nationally. And among the white no college voters, he performed 11 points worse than across the countryfinishing tied with Obama.
So the GOPs problem is not that it cant win Hispanicsits that it cant mobilize its white base. Above all, it has lost its grip on the white working classwhat used to be called the Reagan Democrats.
{snip}
But whites have rights, too. And, until Ted Kennedys 1965 Immigration Act opened the floodgates to non-traditional immigration, these whites were what was called Americans.
For the GOP, immigration is not a problem but a solution. An anti-unemployment immigration moratorium, attrition of the illegal presence through enforcement and closing the anchor-baby loophole, coupled with Official English and the abolition of affirmative action, which (absurdly) currently advantages immigrants, all are exactly what is needed to bring back the Reagan Democrats.
Maybe it cant happen. But maybe, too, the GOP is doomed.
Original Article