CrusaderFrank
Diamond Member
- May 20, 2009
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The reason asset sales are not cheered as strengthening the currency is because the Fed has never historically exited from its asset holdings in an efficient enough manner to avoid a deflationary spiral. It has caused several of those in its history.When the Fed buys a bond, it is putting more money into circulation. This makes people who hate the Fed crazy. "They are debasing the currency!!!"
However, the Fed sells its bonds, too. And when it sells the US Treasuries it owns, it takes the principal it receives from those sales and...destroys it! But you never hear the people who hate the Fed crying, "They are strengthening the currency!!!"
Most of the profits from the interest earned on the assets it owns go to the US Treasury. That's right, to the federal government.
By buying and selling Treasuries, the Fed maintains an inflation rate of about two percent. That two percent is to accomodate economic growth.
As I mentioned in my last post, the Fed holds about $3 trillion in assets. That's an extra $3 trillion of money that would not ordinarily be in our economy.
That extra liquidity is not causing any inflationary problems right now. In fact, it prevented runaway deflation.
We can debate all day long over whether we should have allowed that deflation to occur, but that's another topic.
Anyway, as I said, the velocity of money is sluggish, and so inflation is not getting away from us...yet.
But what happens when the economy begins warming up again? What happens when people start digging up that $3 trillion from their backyards and begin spending it, increasing the velocity of money in our economy?
Inflation happens, that's what.
And that is when the Fed would start selling its assets and soaking up all that cash flying around and destroying it.
But...we have a problem.
More to come...
They have no idea what they're doing. They literally sit around and come up with hypotheses and hope to god that they work, and they usually don't.
I disagree wholeheartedly!
The Fed knows EXACTLY what's it's doing and it's going to hand over the biggest financial disaster in human history over to Obama's susccessor