If there are 10 violent crimes and 7 are committed by whites, the likelihood is that a white person commits the violent crime.
Flat ass no.. "LIKELIHOOD" has a very specific meaning if you apply it to a subset of criminals. Doesn't mean the likelihood of whites committing that crime is higher. Only means that they commit MORE of them due to their higher population number of that group..
Works for ANY subgroup. It could be the LIKELIHOOD or probability that felonies are committed more or less by ex-felons. It's meaningless without NORMALIZING for the size of that group... Felons commit a future felonies at a very high rate of probability compared to other demographics. But more than certainly, the number is far less than other populations.
Any time you COMPARE those subset populations, you MUST take into account the size of that population. If you're NOT comparing them -- no one cares what you do...
That's exactly where white privilege is spurred from. Social cons/white nationalists like to make the argument on "per capita" means, because using total would paint them in a negative light...a negative light that they have no qualms of denigrating minorities over. You use the term "black" to encompass all blacks, but when the same is done for whites, you show up and argue how we should all get along or pretend that social cons don't see race.
I'm a patient man. Let's talk this out. Whites commit more serious crimes than blacks because their subgroup is about 3 times larger. There's your argument. There's the explanation. NOW --
Why is it that blacks commit more serious crime than Asians? Or Hispanics? Your turn. Explain that using the definitions of probability or likelihood..
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Flacaltenn, it's just this simple:
In 2016, 4,935 blacks were arrested for murder. Now is 4,935 people 13 percent.of the population? .So what is the real probability that blacks commit murder based on 4,935 blacks out of a US population of over 300 million people? For the subset here in this example are the number of people committing murder.
I can keep going in the destruction of your dumb ass argument. I'm a patient man and we shall not be trying to compare anything to Asians or Hispanics. For Asians and Hispanics did not create this falsehood.
You're simply not equipped to trash math and statistics. No. 4,935 people are not 13% of the US population. But then again that's a stupid statement.
Would you EXPECT blacks to be killing and murdering 13% of the population ? 
Would 1% be awful? That's not how you would analyze it. It's meaningless.
Because if Whites murdered 42% of the population every year
or even 1% --- you'd might see that on the news..

That's meaningless to point out.
You would find out what PERCENTAGE of blacks killed someone in a year. The RATE per black person. And do the same for any other subgroup you wanted to compare to..