The 2015 Israeli legislative (Knesset) election thread

Channel 10's exit polls:

Zionist Union with 27.
Likud with 27.
Joint Arab List with 13.,
Yesh Atid with 11.
Bayit Yehudi with 8.
Kulanu with 10.
Shas with 7.
United Torah Judaism with 7.
Meretz with 5.
Yisrael Beytenu with 5.
Yahad failing to pass the electoral threshold.

Show me how you think Likud gets to 61.

Sorry, you've shown yourself be a leftist hack and I don't believe a number or word you say. :eusa_naughty:

As I've already said, I could not possibly give less of shit about what you "believe". Whatever makes you feel better.

You always get angry when someone rejects you, that would make for a tough life
 
Channel 1:


Likud 27 MKs

Labor 26

Yesh Atid 11

Kulanu 9

Joint Arab List 11

Jewish Home 9

UTJ 6

Shas 7

Meretz 5

Yisrael Beytenu 5

Yachad 4

If the Yachad result is true, that will hurt Herzog. Badly.
 
No, he hasn't. According to exit polls, Likud has won 27 or 28 seats.

Bibi has to form a 61+ seat coalition to hold on as PM.

With all the expertise in Israeli politics you've gathered in your 30 years of living, I'd think you'd know a tie or narrow loss goes to Bibi because the majority of minor parties are far right-wing groups This is why he told the press there would be no deal with HAMAS...that cemented his coalition.

Channel 10's exit polls:

Zionist Union with 27.
Likud with 27.
Joint Arab List with 13.,
Yesh Atid with 11.
Bayit Yehudi with 8.
Kulanu with 10.
Shas with 7.
United Torah Judaism with 7.
Meretz with 5.
Yisrael Beytenu with 5.
Yahad failing to pass the electoral threshold.

Show me how you think Likud gets to 61.

I can show you how they could get to 70:

Likud, UTJ, Shas, Yisrael Beytenu, Jewish Home, Yachad and Kulanu

(Channels 2 and 10 give Jewish Home only 8 MKs, and give the Joint Arab List 13 MKs.)

Either way, Likud could easily pass 61 if they had these parties align with them.
 
So....how does building a coalition work - is it the winner who has to try to build it or can any of the groups try to form coalitions to build a majority?

The leading parties try to assemble a coalition, but they can aso fail in doing so. That what happened with Tzipi Livni years ago. She won by voted, but couldn't assemble a coalition, so Bibi rose as PM with the Likud.
That sounds more fairer than our Electoral College.

Possibly. But their system also encourages lots of little spinter parties, which our EC discourages.

Yes, like Yachad and all sorts of tiny parties I've never even heard of, lol.


Gam yachad, gam yachad....

oh wait, where's the Afikomen?!?!?!?
 
It will be interesting to see if Likud act like grown-ups if they lose or U.S. Repubs and sit on their hands (block everything)?

It's democracy, whether they like it or not, if they lose, it's because the people said their word.
My only concern is that the Israeli people don't fall for any of that "Hope and Change" BS that America has been saddled with for 6 years.

Yeah, but it IS a time for a change.... we had Bibi for like...FOREVER.

Twice

Three times.

96-99
09-15

You are talking about terms as PM
 
No, he hasn't. According to exit polls, Likud has won 27 or 28 seats.

Bibi has to form a 61+ seat coalition to hold on as PM.

With all the expertise in Israeli politics you've gathered in your 30 years of living, I'd think you'd know a tie or narrow loss goes to Bibi because the majority of minor parties are far right-wing groups This is why he told the press there would be no deal with HAMAS...that cemented his coalition.

Channel 10's exit polls:

Zionist Union with 27.
Likud with 27.
Joint Arab List with 13.,
Yesh Atid with 11.
Bayit Yehudi with 8.
Kulanu with 10.
Shas with 7.
United Torah Judaism with 7.
Meretz with 5.
Yisrael Beytenu with 5.
Yahad failing to pass the electoral threshold.

Show me how you think Likud gets to 61.

I can show you how they could get to 70:

Likud, UTJ, Shas, Yisrael Beytenu, Jewish Home, Yachad and Kulanu

(Channels 2 and 10 give Jewish Home only 8 MKs, and give the Joint Arab List 13 MKs.)

As I've been saying this whole thread, it's gonna come down to Kulanu.
 
I'm on a live feed at the Guardian and this just in....

5m ago22:23

Adjusted polls now suggest that the conservative Yahad party may have enough votes to make it in the Knesset – crossing the minimum threshold to win four Knesset seats (3.25% of the electorate).

If Yahad wins four seats, Netanyahu has a much easier path to building a conservative government.

— Sheera Frenkel (@sheeraf) March 17, 2015
This is how close the Israeli elections are: new poll shows Yishai's party just getting in w/ 3 seats, enough to ensure Netanyahu is PM.

Israel elections Netanyahu declares great victory as exit polls show tie with Herzog live updates World news The Guardian
 
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15th post
Barry about to throw in the towel...claims "he can work with whoever wins"...yeah right....work with THIS :fu:

Netanyahu declares victory but Herzog in no hurry to concede The Times of Israel


you dumb goy the people of Israel didn't vote on Obama

Bullshit. The analyst I just heard from JPost said flat out the increase in the voter turnout was in response to foreign nations America AND Europe interfering in the Israeli election process.
 
Netanyahu declares victory in Israeli election upset


Bibi-smile-540x378.jpg


TEL AVIV—Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu celebrated “a great victory” for himself and his Likud Party shortly after early exit polls were released following Tuesday’s election.

“Against all odds, a great victory for the Likud, for the nationalist camp led by the Likud, and for the people of Israel,” Netanyahu said in a statement on his Facebook page.

Netanyahu performed much better than expected after facing months-long attacks from his political opponents. His party is now expected to lead the charge in forming a new government.

Zalman Shoval, a former Israeli ambassador to the United States, told reporters there is no doubt Netanyahu’s surge is the story of the election.

“The people in the press and media understand that for Netanyahu personally, and Likud, it’s a big victory,” Shoval said. “Mr. Netanyahu will undoubtedly set up the next government.

State Department Spokeswoman Marie Harf said Tuesday evening that she was not aware of the election results.

“I hadn’t seen them, just heard them from you,” she told CNN. “I think it’s too early to make predictions about what will happen here.”

Harf declined to discuss Netanyahu’s unpredicted surge in early exit polls.




BIBI FOREVER Washington Free Beacon
 
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