I have mixed feelings on $15 minimum wage.
On the one hand, obviously, it greatly helps the standard of living for those who get the huge wage increase.
On the other, a 100+% increase in pay with a zero increase in production is not good for business. Plus, the extra costs will be passed on to the customers.
Finally, the non-partisan CBO has stated that a higher minimum wage will cost many 100's of thousands of jobs nationwide. And that was only to $10.10 per hour.
The Effects of a Minimum-Wage Increase on Employment and Family Income | Congressional Budget Office
If the Dems take both houses in November (and especially if they also take the WH in 2020 - which the polls say looks likely right now)...this issue will probably re-surface in force.
Thoughts?
McRocket, you linked to a U.S. Congressional Budget Office, (CBO) report dated February 18, 2014. The current $7.25 federal minimum rate was enacted July 2009. Between February 1968 and September 2018, the minimum rate's purchasing power has declined in excess of 38%.
[The minimum rate's peak purchasing power was achieved February 1968. That nominal increase from $1.40 to $1.60/per Hr., (a nominal increase of 14.28%) less than a 9.6% increased purchasing power since the $1.40 rate was enacted in February 1967].
Your linked CBO report,
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/44995 discusses a proposed minimum rate increases to $9.00 or to $10.10/per hour. CBO's estimates due to a $9 increase was a “very slight increase” of USA workers, (a fifth of a million more workers).
CBO's estimates due to a $10.10 increase was a “very slight decrease” of USA workers, (a million less workers).
Considering even only the immediate net economic and social consequences of the greater increase, (despite the more immediate loss of some small proportion of our very lowest wage jobs), I'm among those that believe the benefits of the greater increase were, and are net justified. But I'm a proponent of gradually pegging the rate up to the CPI while increasing the rate an additional 12% per year until the rate has achieved no less than 120% of its February 1968 purchasing power. Thereafter the rate should be annually adjusted to retain its purchasing power.
Respectfully, Supposn
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Additional excerpts from CBO report's $10.10 estimates:
… a few higher-wage workers would owe their jobs and increased earnings to the heightened demand for goods and services that would result from the minimum-wage increase.
The increased earnings for low-wage workers resulting from the higher minimum wage would total $31 billion, by CBO’s estimate. However, those earnings would not go only to low-income families, because many low-wage workers are not members of low-income families. Just 19 percent of the $31 billion would accrue to families with earnings below the poverty threshold, whereas 29 percent would accrue to families earning more than three times the poverty threshold, CBO estimates.
Moreover, the increased earnings for some workers would be accompanied by reductions in real (inflation-adjusted) income for the people who became jobless because of the minimum-wage increase, for business owners, and for consumers facing higher prices. CBO examined family income overall and for various income groups, reaching the following conclusions:
Once the increases and decreases in income for all workers are taken into account, overall real income would rise by $2 billion.
- Real income would increase, on net, by $5 billion for families whose income will be below the poverty threshold under current law, boosting their average family income by about 3 percent and moving about 900,000 people, on net, above the poverty threshold (out of the roughly 45 million people who are projected to be below that threshold under current law).
- Families whose income would have been between one and three times the poverty threshold would receive, on net, $12 billion in additional real income. About $2 billion, on net, would go to families whose income would have been between three and six times the poverty threshold.
- Real income would decrease, on net, by $17 billion for families whose income would otherwise have been six times the poverty threshold or more, lowering their average family income by 0.4 percent.