However, in this unstable climate, things do - and will - begin to move quickly. When this pattern first developed (Al Queada destabilizing "shakey" regimes) most of the major players in the region - Damascus, Istambul, Tel Aviv, Cairo began to brace themselves for what anyone could see, was a total de-stabilization of the Middle East; already on shakey ground from Iran, Iraq and Afghanistan.
Right. We're really having fun now.
The United States has lost all credibility from years of wars. That leaves (in reality) only ONE major player in that region - Russia. They can (and do) provide BILLIONS in weapons and logistics each year for THEIR economy (which is still unstable itself). They have little else to offer BUT weapons - but what commodity better fits that region of the world right now?
Good point about the weapons; that is surely Russia's interest. However, I don't know what you mean about credibility. We don't have any credibility as nice guys or problem solvers, no. However, we do have credibility as the country with the well-aimed missiles, and the country that can go in anywhere and lose a war for ten years. That may sound pathetic at first, but consider the matter from, say, Iraq's point of view: nobody really wants us to wade in and lose a war for ten years
on their land. Iraq was prosperous and stable and relatively secular under Saddam; but we came in there and totally ruined them and now they are in a state of perpetual chaos. My guess is Syria would prefer.....anything else to that. I'd call that credibility.
The Middle East is going up in flames. It WILL NOT stop at Syria. This will ultimately end with war against Israel by "whomever". That has been the goal all along. And, we all know that Israel will NOT go down without a fight. Again - this is not going to end well. It may take another 5 or 10 years, but it IS coming.
Somebody who sees the seriousness of the situation! I'd say it can't take as long as 10 years. When it gets to this state, it's one to five, approx. Examples: once Hitler started annexing large areas of Europe, the clock started. Also, once Germany started sending gunboats to Morocco everytime France sneezed there, the clock started. The first was 1908 and two incidents were later. Everyone knew this was a real threat of war each time, but nothing big happened till 1914. I know everything takes longer than we can believe, once we recognize what's going on. Like the slow-mo European political collapse. Or whatever is going to happen. Not plausible it can go on like this! Same with the Mideast: how could it go on and on like this? Can't, so something else will happen. I agree it will tend to involve Israel......
This is NOT some ridiculous James Bond thriller. This is REAL LIFE. This is nations (the US - China - Russia) posturing themselves to pick up the pieces in a post-war recovery. Governments look 10-20-30-40 years down the road. They HAVE to plan for the inevitable.
China gets Africa, we know that already. And high time they took a turn at that catastrophe, good luck to 'em. Russia, who knows, they're such a mess. They'll cause trouble and sell weapons, that's to be expected. I suppose you think they mean to snap up the Mideast and control all the oil.....hmmmmm. Good plan.
Well, what are you thinking about the Mideast after the collapses, plural? Recolonization? Seems unlikely, somehow. Didn't work in Iraq, that's for sure. But obviously the Arabs are not capable of governing themselves. Depends on how much of a die-off there is. If there IS a nuclear war or a big Malthusian collapse (none of them have any food supplies or any economy) I suppose the civilized areas of the world might get a lot of empty sand cheap.