In the final analysis, the Court will grant Plaintiff's Motion for Summary Judgment and deny Defendent's similar motion. The Court will sever Section 1501 from the balance of the ACA and deny Plaintiff's request for injunctive relief.
Ten pages and, unless I've missed it, no one has noted that the health care reform law has
not been ruled unconstitutional. Not only did Hudson specifically decline to halt implementation of the law, he rejected the plaintiff's request that he rule the entire law unconstitutional. Instead, he ruled the individual mandate unconstitutional and specifically severed it from the rest of the law, which survives intact. From a court that was obviously going to rule against the ACA, this is a surprisingly favorable ruling.
I don't think the states are gonna want to set up exchanges until this is settled.
That depends on state leadership and has very little to do with this decision (even if the decision as issued stood, exchanges would still be constructed in every state). The best it can offer is political cover for governors or legislature that want to drag their feet. 48 states (and D.C.) are currently being funded to design/plan their exchanges. If some of them decide not to build exchanges, it doesn't really matter. If a state can't demonstrate in early 2013 that it will have a customized state-designed, state-run exchange operational by the end of that year, the feds will step in and build and operate one for the state. If a state doesn't mind ceding control over most of its individual insurance market to the federal government, it can sit on its hands forever, if it likes.
currently the score is 1-1 for Obama care.
Actually, the score of ACA-related suits is 5-1 in favor of the ACA. In terms of those that have actually gone far enough to rule on the constitutionality of the law/individual mandate, the score is 2-1 in favor of it being constitutional. Today's decision is actually the anomaly, though you wouldn't know it by the champagne corks popping around here. Though, as I said, even for a defeat it's remarkable positive. About 2,690 pages of the law are untouched. Which is where all of the promising stuff lies.
I'm not sure I agree with the standard of review the judge chose to use, or his pretty much out of hand dismissal of Wickard and Gonzales, I think he made a decision that's above his pay grade here - but then again, somebody has to be the first to weigh in. That will be taken up at the Circuit level.
There are bits of bad logic in there (like suggesting the necessary and proper clause doesn't apply if the commerce clause itself doesn't directly apply) but overall I'm pretty relieved by this decision. Establishing severability is about the kindest thing this judge could have done. Somebody should send this guy a cake.