Good idea. This is much easier than the quote function whenever discussing with someone who will not alter my words.
1. One of my original disagreements with this is that we got nothing in return from the Russians. Although this may appear to be something in return, I don't find it nearly adequate. First, what the Russians had planned for Kaliningrad Oblast was completely offensive and not comparable to our system. In fact, it was an escalation of offensive arms by the Russians. Thus, this is an inequitable trade of concessions. Secondly, considering the security issues in Kaliningrad with their anti-Moscow factions, the Russians' planned deployment of offensive arms in an unfriendly environment was not a given at all.
So, are you saying trading our DEFENSIVE weaponry for their OFEENSIVE weaponry is not equitable? I don't think I follow you on this one? By them not deploying their offensive weapons, we are not going to spend more money on a defensive countermeasure. Sounds like a good business decision to me.
I'm glad you picked up on that. As the world is interested in keeping the Cold War dead and in keeping arms escalation to a minimum, it should be an expectation that Russia will not resume an arms race. This expectation in this case is further magnified whenever one realizes that Russia's claim to escalate is in response to some offensive escalation on our part. That is not the case. It was a gratuituous arms escalation by Russia. And, as I said, they were planning a deployment of offensive missiles in an unfriendly environment. I find it difficult to imagine that Russia was not so insecure about that situation that they would have decided on their own to scrap deployment.
2. Part of the deal to the Poles was to give them Patriot missiles in return for their allowing us the use of their territory. We aren't getting that use any longer, but we are still shipping the Patriots to them. That's a ridiculous waste of our resources for nothing.
I agree. We should not be "giving" weapons systems to anyone, if we are getting nothing tangible in return.
Cool. Although, being accused of supporting the military corporate infrastructure (or whatever the catchy phrase for it is), I suppose I should be happy that we will need to manufacture more Patriots. But, I'm not.
3. As it became clear that we actually did piss off the Poles, still shipping the Patriots certainly makes them happier. However, any trust the Poles were willing to extend to the USA is less credible after this.
OK, but honestly, so what?
I view Poland as a strategic new ally, I prefer that we have well established trust with our allies. And, others may look at this and if we are involved in some deal with them in the future, this breaking of trust (or tendency to do so) will weigh into their decision to favorably deal with us.
4. Finally, with what appeared to me as backpeddling after realizing the ramifications of backing out of this deal, all of this seems poorly thought out and I belive that had we honored the original deal, we would be in a better position as far as goodwill is concerned with the countries involved. Russia and the USA will always have tentative goodwill, IMO, until another generation dies off.
What was the original deal with Russia?
I'm speaking of the deal with the Poles and the Czech Republic. We had no deal with the Russians as they never had any rational interest in this at all. They were not a player nor were they affected. YET, the Russian rhetoric (combined with the misinformation in the media affecting public opinion buying that our BDMS is offensive based on Russian rhetoric) allowed them to get into this for free. I mean free in the sense that there is not a valid grievance on their part with respect to this, yet they get in on it.
Bottom line, I believe there is much more to this that none of us will know publicly because so much of it does not jibe with me. I am going with public information and basing my analysis on that, as is what we all have done.