Prediction for 2024 Election

expatobserver

Rookie
Aug 23, 2022
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In the 2020 election I forecast dems would take senate and maybe the house.
I was close.

For 2024 I am willing to stick my neck out and forecast

Dems will retake the House and improve in the Senate. Biden will win..
Trump may get 50 million votes.. but Biden will get double whatever Trump gets.

Enough Republican voters have had enough of Trump to cut his vote by a third
and women will come out in waves to vote against Trump.

Probability that Dem majority is close to being enough to really govern from strength.

Trump will then face the music and end up in jail.
 
In the 2020 election I forecast dems would take senate and maybe the house.
I was close.

For 2024 I am willing to stick my neck out and forecast

Dems will retake the House and improve in the Senate. Biden will win..
Trump may get 50 million votes.. but Biden will get double whatever Trump gets.

Enough Republican voters have had enough of Trump to cut his vote by a third
and women will come out in waves to vote against Trump.

Probability that Dem majority is close to being enough to really govern from strength.

Trump will then face the music and end up in jail.
Biden wins.
Democrats take back the House.
Republicans take back the Senate by 1 or 2 seats (the numbers favor it. That changes in 2026).
 
In the 2020 Virginia Democrat Primary, Dems got 1.3M votes, and Biden got 700k votes.
1709735158639.png

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In the 2024 Virginia Democratic Primary yesterday, Biden and the Dems got only 300k votes....

1709735252868.png


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Dems are absolutely doomed if they keep Biden on the ballot.
 
You guys have no chance to cheat enough to win this time around.
There was no cheating. No widespread fraud. Stop perpetuating lies. 2020 is long in the rearview mirror.

You are fronting a completely unlikeable candidate that hasn't made ANY gains with independent voters in the swing states he lost last time.

The result...will be the same.
 
In the 2020 election I forecast dems would take senate and maybe the house.
I was close.

For 2024 I am willing to stick my neck out and forecast

Dems will retake the House and improve in the Senate. Biden will win..
Trump may get 50 million votes.. but Biden will get double whatever Trump gets.

Enough Republican voters have had enough of Trump to cut his vote by a third
and women will come out in waves to vote against Trump.

Probability that Dem majority is close to being enough to really govern from strength.

Trump will then face the music and end up in jail.
I am going for a large turnout especially the young vote...

Biden wins
Dems take Congress...
The Senate will hold at 50 - 50... (without Machin and Sinema)

Governor races both New Hampshire and North Carolina switch parties... There are some decent GOP Govenors out there staying under the radar and getting on with it.
 
Oh it's over. Trump has already lost. Biden will be just fine. No one wants to see another four years of the shitshow known as Trump.
He's headed for the big house anyway. :)
I think a lot of people will see that Trump is trying to be above the law and they won't want that...

Biden is the devil you know... Simple stuff done right by a competent team...
The economy is improving all the time and the GOP know not to go near it...

They have recently pushed Immigration to the most important issue in America (yep, more important than economy, Government services, ....)

But Democrats have just eaten there lunch on that one... Biden called there bluff and put there bill to Congress, for them to stall there own bill... Biden keeps on beating them...
 
I think a lot of people will see that Trump is trying to be above the law and they won't want that...

Biden is the devil you know... Simple stuff done right by a competent team...
The economy is improving all the time and the GOP know not to go near it...

They have recently pushed Immigration to the most important issue in America (yep, more important than economy, Government services, ....)

But Democrats have just eaten there lunch on that one... Biden called there bluff and put there bill to Congress, for them to stall there own bill... Biden keeps on beating them...

Lol
 
There was no cheating. No widespread fraud. Stop perpetuating lies. 2020 is long in the rearview mirror.

You are fronting a completely unlikeable candidate that hasn't made ANY gains with independent voters in the swing states he lost last time.

The result...will be the same.

1709736045119.png



AZ, GA, MI, NV, PA and WI, according to this collection of polls,
are flipping to Trump. 77 EVs.
If that's not gains from independents, it must be Dems flipping to Trump.
 
In the 2020 election I forecast dems would take senate and maybe the house.
I was close.

For 2024 I am willing to stick my neck out and forecast

Dems will retake the House and improve in the Senate. Biden will win..
Trump may get 50 million votes.. but Biden will get double whatever Trump gets.

Enough Republican voters have had enough of Trump to cut his vote by a third
and women will come out in waves to vote against Trump.

Probability that Dem majority is close to being enough to really govern from strength.

Trump will then face the music and end up in jail.

Stick your neck out?

You're one random persons out of billions online just making a random post on a forum. You have nothing at stake, not even a reputation. There is nothing for you to stick your neck out.

Just make sure you bookmark this page so you can revisit it after the elections.
 
View attachment 913055


AZ, GA, MI, NV, PA and WI, according to this collection of polls,
are flipping to Trump. 77 EVs.
If that's not gains from independents, it must be Dems flipping to Trump.
LOL. Stop....in March (8 months before the election), these faux polls...mean nothing.
Come talk to me again in six months after the conventions.

And if Trump doesn't gain the independents...he's cooked.
 

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