Is an insurance company a rational actor? Does it seek to maximize profit?
Whatever the answer to your question, the fact remians - the aspirin costs that much because the third party is willing to pay that much.
And I'm curious why you think that is.
The argument against third party payment is that it insulates the end user--i.e. the patient--from the price of the services rendered, leading to higher utilization and a lack of cost-consciousness when "comparison shopping" for health services (though obviously the actual nature of the provider market muddies the waters).
But that doesn't explain why the
actual payer for the bulk of services--the insurer--would be indifferent to prices and thus willingly accept outrageous reimbursement rates or otherwise overpay. Are health insurance companies simply the most poorly or irrationally run corporations in recorded history? Or is there something else going on here that has important implications for
any payment structure proposal?
Excellent question. It really gets to the heart of the problem.
This is what needs to be discussed and brought under intense scrutiny. Here's my take on it.
It's not that insurance companies have no incentive to keep prices down, but that incentive is mitigated by some important factors. First, and foremost, they're dealing with what is essentially a closed market. There is
some opportunity for employers to "shop around" for cheaper insurers, but overall the employees - the people actually paying the rates - don't have that option. For most of us, it's a single checkbox. Some don't even get a choice at all, ie our enrollment to a given insurance company is included as a fixed part of our compensation package. We can walk away from it, but we can't just ask for the cash and buy our own. This is by design.
The insurance companies also insulate themselves against competition with a thick regulatory regime that prevents any radical divergence from the norms they've set. It prevents innovation and decreases their incentive to keep premiums lows. Further, and admittedly this steps into 'freakonomics' that I can't back up with hard numbers yet (I'm looking), I claim that health care inflation, up until very recently, has been a boon to the insurance industry and not a burden. It has galvanized the assumption that they want permanently ingrained in our world view:
we can't afford health care without insurance. But, as I and others here have shown, that assumption is false. Beyond protecting us from catastrophic risk, insurance isn't a good deal; it's a terrible way to finance regular health care expenses.
Regardless of their incentives, insurance companies are limited in their practical ability to keep a lid on every single questionable charge. They can negotiate for fixed, and lower, rates on big-ticket treatments and services, or those that can be standardized and cataloged. But they rapidly reach a point of diminishing returns, where challenging every "five dollar aspirin" costs them more money than it would save them. Simply put, they aren't present for each of the millions of daily health care transactions that make up the whole. Only the patient and the doctor are.
To your last question, "... is there something else going on here that has important implications for
any payment structure proposal?" I would answer an emphatic "Yes!". Any payment
structure proposal will run into similar problems. I think this gets at why you and I seldom have fruitful discussions when it comes to the health care problem. You don't seem capable of imagining a solution to the health care problem that doesn't involve some kind of
structured proposal. It's the limitations and inflexibility that come with any level of artificial structure that are at core the problem. As long as market dynamics are at play, there's simply no replacement for the individual consumer, motivated to look after their own financial interests.