How do we go about quantifying "global weather weirding"???
That is an excellent question, Dude.
I can propose a way, but not being a statistician, I am not sure it actually makes sense. I'll leave it to any of you who were experts in stastical studies to tell me if this idea has merit
We could study
the history of record breaking weather events retrospectively.
We have about a century's worth of weather records for much of the globe.
And we know, even if things are
status quo with the climate that every different weather related records are broken all around the globe.
But can we intuit that if the climate is changing there would be an increase in record breaking events?
I think we can.
So we can get some idea of how often weather record breaking events have typically happened annually.
If there's a signioficant changes in the number of normal record breaking events, we're probably going to see it pretty clearly in the historic records.
Perhaps we might consider weighting by how much the records are broken, too. That would of course demand a much more complex mathematical model.
It's an imperfect math model, I admit.
But perhaps this retrospective study might shed some light on what's been happening at the extremes of our weather patterns, and those in turn which might shed light on what's happening to the mean of the weather, (which is really the climate) too.
