NOAA predicts above-normal hurricane season this year

1srelluc

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The Atlantic storm season could produce as many as 19 named storms, including up to 10 hurricanes and five major storms, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

NOAA's Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlooks have a 70% confidence level. For the 2025 season, NOAA predicts a 30% chance of a near-normal season, a 60% chance of an above-normal season, and a 10% chance of a below-normal season. Over the past 23 years, NOAA's summer forecasts have correctly predicted the hurricane range 52% of the time, according to a Medium post. This means that there's a roughly 50% chance that NOAA's forecast will be correct, and a roughly 50% chance that it won't be, according to a Medium post.

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Meh, if you guess low and there are many people will call for your head. Guess high and it's lower then nothing happens and nobody remembers what you said. ;)

NOAA doesn't even know what a hurricane is going to do 10 days out let alone how many we might get before they actually form.....That and their models have been FUBAR for a while.

LOL....Give it 6 months and this will be the MSM headline.

This is Republican's fault for defunding equitable climate change research grants.
 
Is this year's hurricane season within the 72-hour window of scientific accuracy? ... maybe you asked the wrong questions ...

So let me get this straight ... NOAA predicts 60% above average, 30% at average and 10% below average ... and you claim this is wrong half the time ... I'm sorry, that adds up to 100% ... the season will be above, at or below average ... there are no other options ... is the other 48% mainly just banana sundaes? ...

It's fairly simple how they come up with these numbers ... we have good data on hurricanes for the past fifty years or so ... and we have good data on the weather during late Spring for all of those years ... so we look at the weather right now, find all the years that match ... then look at the following hurricane season ... for this year's late Spring conditions, 60% of the time we experienced an above average hurricane season, 30% near average and 10% was below average ... strictly a statistical answer ... no science involved ... it's the elvish answer, for it says both "yes" and "no" ...

NOW is a good time to prepare ... "shelter in place" is the new norm ... no more Federal money for temporary homes and your State Government is NOT going to help you ... Red States voted for this ... hope you're prepared ...
 
NOW is a good time to prepare ... "shelter in place" is the new norm ... no more Federal money for temporary homes and your State Government is NOT going to help you ... Red States voted for this ... hope you're prepared ...
Thanks for your concern but GTG here.

I have a home with fall on all sides, newish roof, plenty of fuel, plenty of potable water, Generac goes hummmmm. ;)

Leftists should invest in some LifeStraws so they can at least drink out of mud puddles. :laughing0301:
 
Thanks for your concern but GTG here.

I have a home with fall on all sides, newish roof, plenty of fuel, plenty of potable water, Generac goes hummmmm. ;)

Leftists should invest in some LifeStraws so they can at least drink out of mud puddles. :laughing0301:

Leftists don't live in hurricane country ... California, Illinois, Ontario ... it's the Trumpanzees in Alabama, Texas and Florida who have to worry ...
 
Leftists don't live in hurricane country ... California, Illinois, Ontario ... it's the Trumpanzees in Alabama, Texas and Florida who have to worry ...
You left out Louisiana and Mississippi. But aren't all large cities predominantly blue? Have you never been to New Orleans?
 
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