Yes I do all polls are just a snapshot of the moment and at the moment they show Hillary has no serious challenger.Sanders
O'Malley
Chafee
Webb
If you took the poll numbers of all four and combined them they might equal Hillarys there is no serious challenge there.
Y'all know this is 2015, right? Not an election year? You realize poll numbers are meaningless at this point?
I guess my point is that no, they don't show that at all. It's way too early to show anything. If the election were in two months we could read something into it. We're not even in the election year yet. There could well be others, there could well be dropouts, by the time any of this matters.
I dunno, it seems a little like a baseball fan watching the draft of teenage future players -- what's the point?
It's borderline mathematically impossible for Hillary Clinton to lose the Democratic Primary.
*Raises eyebrow*. I find that phrase particularly interesting. Mathematically impossible doesn't have a borderline. Something either is mathematically impossible or it isn't, and it never applies to anything involving physical reality.
But if you are that confident, I'm curious. Suppose someone offered to make you a bet where you get $5 if Hillary is the nominee and you pay $100 if she isn't, would you take it?
Yes it does have a borderline, something that is 99.99% likely to happen is borderline guaranteed, it's extremely, overwhelming likely to happen. The same is true in reverse. It might be a slight play on words, but no one can predict the exact future, she might fall down some stairs and die or something, who knows.
Currently her only real competition is Sanders which isn't much competition. The name recognition, the endorsements, the popularity among democrats, the fact that she's embracing social liberalism when the country is heading that way on a variety of areas....it's leading me to conclude that it would take a bizarre turn of events to prevent Hillary from becoming the nominee.
$5 is nothing to me, so I wouldn't bother to keep track of it.