New Mexico is now a toss up

[ColonelAngus]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Zia_Poll_NM_November.pdf


Clinton leads, but could New Mexico be a toss up? The


state-wide survey of 8,439 likely voters, conducted on

Sunday November 2nd by ZiaPoll, shows a 2 point Clinton


advantage going into the final day before Election Day. The

poll shows Donald Trump is the closest he has been to

Secretary Clinton the entire campaign. Trump’s deficit is

within the margin of error of a statistical tie. Clinton still

leads among females and Hispanic/Latino voters, however

Trump is now leading Clinton by 5 points in the crossover

vote, more Democrats are voting for Trump than

Republicans are voting for Clinton. For the fourth poll in a

row, Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson experienced another

drop in the polls. When looking at the trends over the last

four New Mexico statewide surveys, it does not

 

[candycorn]

At some point, we have to have a class on what it means when an organization whose bread and butter is predicting electoral outcomes deems a state a “toss up”.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

No, New Mexico is not a toss up and never was.

 

[Preacher]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Zia_Poll_NM_November.pdf


Clinton leads, but could New Mexico be a toss up? The


state-wide survey of 8,439 likely voters, conducted on

Sunday November 2nd by ZiaPoll, shows a 2 point Clinton


advantage going into the final day before Election Day. The

poll shows Donald Trump is the closest he has been to

Secretary Clinton the entire campaign. Trump’s deficit is

within the margin of error of a statistical tie. Clinton still

leads among females and Hispanic/Latino voters, however

Trump is now leading Clinton by 5 points in the crossover

vote, more Democrats are voting for Trump than

Republicans are voting for Clinton. For the fourth poll in a

row, Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson experienced another

drop in the polls. When looking at the trends over the last

four New Mexico statewide surveys, it does not



View attachment 97252

Wow. NO ONE is even talking about New Mexico! I really wish it was Tuesday already,my anxiety level is going through the roof and mixing it with homicidal thoughts isn't a good mixture.

 

[Preacher]

No, New Mexico is not a toss up and never was.

Oh yay our resident retard is here! He thinks he's an expert in everything!

 

[ColonelAngus]

The polled percentages are within the margin of error.....THUS making the state a toss up.

WTF is wrong with some of you idiots?

 

[Preacher]

The polled percentages are within the margin of error.....THUS making the state a toss up.

WTF is wrong with some of you idiots?

Liberals have no grasp on reality. Simple as that.

 

[Timmy]

Wait a minute ....there's a NEW Mexico!?!

 

[NYcarbineer]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Zia_Poll_NM_November.pdf


Clinton leads, but could New Mexico be a toss up? The


state-wide survey of 8,439 likely voters, conducted on

Sunday November 2nd by ZiaPoll, shows a 2 point Clinton


advantage going into the final day before Election Day. The

poll shows Donald Trump is the closest he has been to

Secretary Clinton the entire campaign. Trump’s deficit is

within the margin of error of a statistical tie. Clinton still

leads among females and Hispanic/Latino voters, however

Trump is now leading Clinton by 5 points in the crossover

vote, more Democrats are voting for Trump than

Republicans are voting for Clinton. For the fourth poll in a

row, Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson experienced another

drop in the polls. When looking at the trends over the last

four New Mexico statewide surveys, it does not



View attachment 97252

Clinton is leading by 2 in that poll. The margin of error is 1.8.

 

[my2¢]

As I've always said, as New Mexico goes, so goes the nation. Well at least that's what I'll start to say.

 

[JimBowie1958]

No, New Mexico is not a toss up and never was.

Not if it can hurt Hillary, right?

 

[JimBowie1958]

Clinton is leading by 2 in that poll. The margin of error is 1.8.

Trump will win New Mexico and more.

Because why?

BREXIT FACTOR!

 

[BlueGin]

No, New Mexico is not a toss up and never was.

Yes it is. It has always been a swing state. Bush won NM twice. It's in the heart of the Bible Belt.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

No, New Mexico is not a toss up and never was.

Yes it is. It has always been a swing state. Bush won NM twice. It's in the heart of the Bible Belt.

Bush won it once, in 2004, and no Republican candidate has come close since. It could have been a toss up or even a Republican leaning state this time had you guys not nominated Trump.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

Clinton is leading by 2 in that poll. The margin of error is 1.8.

Trump will win New Mexico and more.

View attachment 97274

Because why?

BREXIT FACTOR!

I can't wait to return to this post tomorrow evening.

 

[JimBowie1958]

Bush won it once, in 2004, and no Republican candidate has come close since. It could have been a toss up or even a Republican leaning state this time had you guys not nominated Trump.

Lol, the past does not determine the future.

This election is a Black Swan event.

But lets just see what happens.

I've got chores to do.

 

[bendog]

No, New Mexico is not a toss up and never was.

Well, RCP DOES have NM as a toss up, but they also have Nev, PA and VA as tossups and Hillary is pretty sure to take all three. I think she'll take NM too.

RealClearPolitics - 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House

CO is a toss up according to the RCP map too, and I think Trump's an underdog there too, although he may have more hope of flipping that one due to the strong RWChirstian and Libertaraian cores

 

[BlueGin]

No, New Mexico is not a toss up and never was.

Yes it is. It has always been a swing state. Bush won NM twice. It's in the heart of the Bible Belt.

Bush won it once, in 2004, and no Republican candidate has come close since. It could have been a toss up or even a Republican leaning state this time had you guys not nominated Trump.

Even the New Mexico news media is saying NM is in a dead heat right now. It's all over the local news and social media.

Try again.

 

[Preacher]

No, New Mexico is not a toss up and never was.

Yes it is. It has always been a swing state. Bush won NM twice. It's in the heart of the Bible Belt.

Bush won it once, in 2004, and no Republican candidate has come close since. It could have been a toss up or even a Republican leaning state this time had you guys not nominated Trump.

Even the New Mexico news media is saying NM is in a dead heat right now. It's all over the local news and social media.

Try again.

Nah! Taz is an EXPERT on EVERYTHING! Just ask him.

 

[BlueGin]

No, New Mexico is not a toss up and never was.

Yes it is. It has always been a swing state. Bush won NM twice. It's in the heart of the Bible Belt.

Bush won it once, in 2004, and no Republican candidate has come close since. It could have been a toss up or even a Republican leaning state this time had you guys not nominated Trump.

Even the New Mexico news media is saying NM is in a dead heat right now. It's all over the local news and social media.

Try again.

Nah! Taz is an EXPERT on EVERYTHING! Just ask him.

He claims Bush lost NM but doesn't mention that he lost by only 350 votes in one county and they did a re count there.

And hello ...we voted in a Republican Governor and several republicans to state government too.