There is no way to win a nuclear war. What you do in a nuclear war is ensure that the other side dies.
If you are alive and your enemy is dead - it is usually considered as 'victory'. The price of the victory may be high, of course, but it may worth it. In the previous war Russia had lost thirty, may be even forty millions citizens but German suggested "alternative" (genocide) was much worse.
It would not take us more than a few days to have 256 of those bombs loaded on B2 bombers and in the air. The rest of those 322 bombs would be waiting for the B2s to fly back and reload.
Anyway, its not enough even to take Voronezh.
Those are for the Europeans to use as they see fit. We'd be using our strategic nukes.
To use strategic nukes to achieve tactical objectives? Funny. The Russians will take Berlin and Paris while you are nuking railroad stations in Zalupinsk and Zajopinsk.
Note that we will soon be producing 480 new B61-12s for the Europeans to use. The first ones have already started rolling off the assembly line.
Yes, but it will be insufficient too.
It would only take a few days for us to get all 230 of them in European hands.
You need thousands of low-yield nukes to fight a Limited Nuclear War.
Our B2s would not be dropping bombs on battlefield formations. The B2s would would be taking out strategic targets inside Russia.
They won't be able even to came close to the most of those 'strategic targets'. They are slow, big, and pretty visible by a proper air defense.
Perhaps the Europeans would chose to use their 230 B61-3s on the battlefield. A B61-3 has a 170 kiloton clean yield (all fusion except for a small primary). 230 of them could put a sizable dent in any Russian army that was invading NATO territory.
How many F-16 will successfully enter in Russia-controlled airspace? And how many of them will be able really attack the Russian army? May be, they will eliminate few Russian brigades (may be not), but other will literally smash European armies, because the Russians have more than 5000 of tactical nukes (and proper delivery systems for them).
Actually, Trident missiles with W76-2 8 kt REs found be such a 'tactical' weapon, but there are only 25 of them totally - few on each Ohio.
Of course they are. They are big, slow and pretty visible (at least in the situation of a first days of war).
Only our bombers could be destroyed thusly, and only if Russia launched a massive attack on us from out of the blue before nuking anyone else, which is an entirely different situation from Russia fighting a limited nuclear war in Europe.
Attacking strategic targets inside Russia itself is not a limited nuclear war in Europe scanario, too.
If Russia launched a massive nuclear strike on the US from out of the blue, we would launch all of our ICBMs at Russia, and four of our Ohio subs would launch all of their SLBMs at Russia.
What if all ICBMs and some Ohio subs are already destroyed by the Russian counter-force strike?
Another four Ohio subs would remain to pick off Russian cities in retaliation for any NATO cities that were destroyed.
Are you sure they will remain? It will take hours or even days to make them able attack cities in the European part of Russia, and the Russians will a) try to kill them before they are ready to attack important targets b) evacuate and shelter their cities.
Russia's missile defenses will be helpless against American missiles and would be largely wiped out by our massive counterforce strike.
Very unlikely.
Civil defense is a pipe dream. Most of their civilians will remain in cities and will be killed if we nuke those cities.
There was a great flood in Irkutsk region back in 2019. The half of the region population was evacuated by EMERCOM in hours, and the number of casualties was really insignificant.
No such vulnerabilities.
A little slow compared to an ICBM, yes. But still able to destroy Russian targets.
They are able to destroy Russian targest only under very specific circumstances.
There is ample time for launch on warning. Our ICBMs are on hair trigger alert.
No. Launch on warning take at least 7-10 minutes. Russian TOF (supressed ballistic trajectory, launch from Canadian sector of Arctic) will take less than 7 minutes.
Our missile detection satellites are complete and effective.
IMEWS is almost degraded, SBIRS-high wasn't completed, SBIRS-low became STSS and deactivated at March, 8 this year. So, all what the US have to detect launch of the Russian missiles now are few SBIRS-High sats, which don't control the whole globe and, sometimes, give false-positive alerts.
Yes, if Russia launched a massive nuclear attack on the US from out of the blue without any warning, our bombers would be destroyed.
But that would take us far out of the realm of the scenario of a local nuclear war in Europe. And Russia would be clobbered with a massive counterforce strike from the US.
There will be no 'massive counterforce strike from the US' if most of the US nuclear arsenal is already destroyed. What is even more important - if the Russians are well prepared, their mobile complexes are already in forests on their routes. You just don't know their positions to attack them all.
Civil defense is a pipe dream. But even if anyone did manage to survive our direct attack, the radiation and nuclear winter would still get them.
Do you really want to scary the Russians with a winter? The winter doesn't kill by itself. Unpreparedness does.
Their counterforce strike will be matched by our own massive counterforce strike.
After that, we will still have four Ohio subs left to pick off Russian cities.
It is that simple. If Russia nukes NATO, we will nuke Russia.
May be. May be not. May be if Russia nukes NATO the USA will face a simple choice between losing the face and losing the life (may be with the terrible, but still acceptable loses for the Russians).