Jessica's election predictions

[Jessica-stormlover]

based on current data

as of 8-2: I'll predict a 3.5% popular vote win for Harris. 51-49 seat republican senate and 225 democratic house.

This is based on current favorability of harris, unfavorability of trumps vice president, favorability of teh government and back ground senate and house polling.

Wis, Michigan and pa are now favored to be harris by about 90%.
Arizona 60%
Ga 50-50

I will update this thread as more data comes along and throughout time.

(back ground includes wins based on party at the lower level over the past few years. 2014-2016 had nothing but republican tea party victories so a Trump victory should have been foretold but 2018-2020 should have shown us the opposite.. Frankly the last 2-3 years are a lot alike 2018-2020 and not 2014-2016)

 

[Magnus]

From your lips to...

 

[progressive hunter]

From your lips to...

you dont want to know where her lips have been,,

 

[conserveguy877]

It took a concert by a slutty rapper to fill seats for a ten minute speech. Trump hasn't needed to do that. But he could to make it more packed than what it already is.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

It took a concert by a slutty rapper to fill seats for a ten minute speech. Trump hasn't needed to do that. But he could to make it more packed than what it already is.

Whatever you need to tell yourself.

 

[Magnus]

It took a concert by a slutty rapper to fill seats for a ten minute speech. Trump hasn't needed to do that. But he could to make it more packed than what it already is.

You mean you would rather see an ex-wrestler strip? And you closet-retards wonder why we call you weird.

 

[odanny]

It took a concert by a slutty rapper to fill seats for a ten minute speech. Trump hasn't needed to do that. But he could to make it more packed than what it already is.

He has a cult, not a majority.

Don't mistake one for the other.

 

[conserveguy877]

He has a cult, not a majority.

Don't mistake one for the other.

You say cult?... You dumb asses said the sleepy joe was fine and dandy with amazing health for another term after this.....

 

[conserveguy877]

You mean you would rather see an ex-wrestler strip? And you closet-retards wonder why we call you weird.

He didn't strip, jack. Hulk showed his support cause he is a real American.

 

[Magnus]

He didn't strip, jack. Hulk showed his support cause he is a real American.

Didn't he rip his shirt off on stage? That turns you on, eh, you sick fuck.

 

[conserveguy877]

Didn't he rip his shirt off on stage? That turns you on, eh, you sick fuck.

Ugh tearing a shirt to show another shirt is sick?

 

[EvilCat Breath]

Ugh tearing a shirt to show another shirt is sick?

You gotta admit calling that stripping is funny.

 

[Thinker101]

based on current data

as of 8-2: I'll predict a 3.5% popular vote win for Harris. 51-49 seat republican senate and 225 democratic house.

This is based on current favorability of harris, unfavorability of trumps vice president, favorability of teh government and back ground senate and house polling.

Wis, Michigan and pa are now favored to be harris by about 90%.
Arizona 60%
Ga 50-50

I will update this thread as more data comes along and throughout time.

(back ground includes wins based on party at the lower level over the past few years. 2014-2016 had nothing but republican tea party victories so a Trump victory should have been foretold but 2018-2020 should have shown us the opposite.. Frankly the last 2-3 years are a lot alike 2018-2020 and not 2014-2016)

From you're lips to the stuffed ballot boxes.

 

[luiza]

based on current data

as of 8-2: I'll predict a 3.5% popular vote win for Harris. 51-49 seat republican senate and 225 democratic house.

This is based on current favorability of harris, unfavorability of trumps vice president, favorability of teh government and back ground senate and house polling.

Wis, Michigan and pa are now favored to be harris by about 90%.
Arizona 60%
Ga 50-50

I will update this thread as more data comes along and throughout time.

(back ground includes wins based on party at the lower level over the past few years. 2014-2016 had nothing but republican tea party victories so a Trump victory should have been foretold but 2018-2020 should have shown us the opposite.. Frankly the last 2-3 years are a lot alike 2018-2020 and not 2014-2016)

To get a balanced opinion I chatted to our Cat , Lord Benny .
I apologise for his language but his words were ,
"Who is that half brain ?"

 

[Magnus]

Ugh tearing a shirt to show another shirt is sick?

He tore at his shirt on the Republican convention stage and you think it was appropriate?

You retards criticize the outfit of performers like Madonna and others but think everything is peachy keen when an ex-wrestler bellows out on the Republican convention stage ripping his shirt? At a Republican convention to nominate the next president of the United States?

Has the Republican party sunk so low that you retards don't even realize how vulgar that is?

Ane you retards wonder why we call you weird.

 

[conserveguy877]

He tore at his shirt on the Republican convention stage and you think it was appropriate?

You retards criticize the outfit of performers like Madonna and others but think everything is peachy keen when an ex-wrestler bellows out on the Republican convention stage ripping his shirt? At a Republican convention to nominate the next president of the United States?

Has the Republican party sunk so low that you retards don't even realize how vulgar that is?

Ane you retards wonder why we call you weird.

Did you catch the love fest for America when President Trump spoke in Atlanta, sport?

 

[Magnus]

Did you catch the love fest for America when President Trump spoke in Atlanta, sport?

What about it, sparky? I heard the douchebag had a hard time filling the seats. LOL

If that wasn't bad, he seems to have spent more time dissing Kemp than Kamala! Did he forget who he is campaigning against? Most likely. The guy was a moron, to begin with, and age hasn't helped.

Thoughts and prayers.

 

[Jessica-stormlover]

based on current data

as of 8-15 I'll predict 2.5% popular vote win for Harris. 51-49 seat republican senate and 219 democratic house.

Wis 60%, Michigan 80% and pa 60% are now favored to be harris.
Arizona 50%
Ga 40%

The polls suggest 2-3% below Hillary in 2016 and at least 5-6% below 2020 poll numbers at this point in that election. I am still forecasting a small win for Harris but next week will tell the story and she needs at least 2% bump out of it. If she doesn't get a bump and Trump out performs her in the debates this election will probably be in Trumps column.

 

[Blackrook]

All the Republican ballots will end up in the river and get replaced by Democratic ballots. So, go ahead make your predictions. None of it matters.

 

[Jessica-stormlover]

As of 9-1 the current thinking is Harris will probably win.
3.5% nation popular vote win is my estimation based on serious polling state level polling, lower office polling and favorability. My ev is 293 for Harris, 245 for Trump!
This gives Harris: predicted real vote when it is said and done!
.7% win in Pa(2% poll wise comparably to 2016-2020).
2.5% win in Michigan(5% pollwise)
.8% win in Wis(3% pollwise)
.1% win in Ga
Neb second will be 2.5% Harris
Maine will likely give all its votes to Harris
Arizona will be Trump by .2%.
North Carolina will be Trump be .5%

The lower offices for senate and house are literal blow outs in these three states. Some showing their senate candidate up by 10-12%. Very healthy down ticket! The 2nd district of neb is 5% ahead in the polls and even the senate race is within 1%. Maine 2nd is very close if not polling ahead for Harris. Lets be honest Arizona if it was only on lower office support would likely go Harris too but I am choosing to be conservative because of the polls.