BellaJones
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- Nov 19, 2025
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While the mainstream media is obsessing over the "Great Guru Meta Sell-Off"—watching titans like Steve Mandel and Andreas Halvorsen dump millions of Meta shares—value investing legend Mohnish Pabrai is playing a completely different game.
If you want to know where the real conviction is, you have to look at the latest Mohnish Pabrai 13F filings. He isn't chasing tech; he’s digging for gold (or rather, coal and oil) in the deep value sectors.
Pabrai has always been known for his "low-risk, high-uncertainty" approach, and his Q4 2025 moves scream conviction. Looking at the data, his portfolio is now a powerhouse of energy and metallurgical plays:
The contrast in the market right now is wild. The "Smart Money Exit" chart shows a total retreat from Meta Platforms, with gurus like Stanley Druckenmiller and Daniel Loeb selling out completely. Meanwhile, Pabrai is doubling down on the infrastructure of the physical world.
While the tech crowd is worried about "sell-off dates" and peak valuations, Pabrai seems to be betting that the backbone of industry—coal and offshore energy—is where the real margin of safety lives for 2026. He did trim nearly 57% of his Valaris (VAL) position, suggesting he’s concentrating his bets on his highest-conviction energy names.
Is Pabrai seeing a commodity super-cycle that the Big Tech fans are missing? Or is the massive exit from Meta a sign that we should all be moving into defensive "old school" value?
Are you sticking with the tech gurus who are hitting the 'Exit' button, or are you following the conviction of the Mohnish Pabrai portfolio into the energy sector?
If you want to know where the real conviction is, you have to look at the latest Mohnish Pabrai 13F filings. He isn't chasing tech; he’s digging for gold (or rather, coal and oil) in the deep value sectors.
The Mohnish Pabrai Portfolio: A Massive Bet on Hard Assets
Pabrai has always been known for his "low-risk, high-uncertainty" approach, and his Q4 2025 moves scream conviction. Looking at the data, his portfolio is now a powerhouse of energy and metallurgical plays:
- Warrior Met Coal (HCC): This remains his undisputed heavyweight champion, making up nearly 40% of his reported holdings.
- Transocean (RIG): Pabrai isn't just holding; he’s adding. He boosted his stake in the offshore drilling giant by over 10% this quarter.
- Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR): Another steady bet on the steel-making coal industry, showing a slight increase in position.
The Great Rotation: Meta’s Loss is Energy’s Gain?
The contrast in the market right now is wild. The "Smart Money Exit" chart shows a total retreat from Meta Platforms, with gurus like Stanley Druckenmiller and Daniel Loeb selling out completely. Meanwhile, Pabrai is doubling down on the infrastructure of the physical world.
While the tech crowd is worried about "sell-off dates" and peak valuations, Pabrai seems to be betting that the backbone of industry—coal and offshore energy—is where the real margin of safety lives for 2026. He did trim nearly 57% of his Valaris (VAL) position, suggesting he’s concentrating his bets on his highest-conviction energy names.
What’s Your Move?
Is Pabrai seeing a commodity super-cycle that the Big Tech fans are missing? Or is the massive exit from Meta a sign that we should all be moving into defensive "old school" value?
Are you sticking with the tech gurus who are hitting the 'Exit' button, or are you following the conviction of the Mohnish Pabrai portfolio into the energy sector?
