I know this won't matter, but just for the heck of it.
From your link:
- Rate markets are pricing in more risk of economic slowdown
- But economists, markets still predicting a soft landing ahead
Those banks are not "raising their projections for a US recession". They are saying that markets have priced in, through their buying and selling tactical decisions, a higher probability, BUT ALSO that a recession is an "outside chance". GS has a 25% probability in place as of today. That's slightly higher than it was before, but still an outside chance. Markets breathe, fluctuate, constantly. The fact is, no one knows.
The labor market cooling is actually the point of what the Fed is trying to do. The "soft landing" is precisely the stated goal. It's the Fed's mandate.
And further, the Fed (whether we like it or not) has far more influence over the macroeconomy than any president (or, obviously, Vice President). Trump himself begged the Fed to not only INCREASE inflationary quantitative easing, but also to artificially decrease interest rates. Thank goodness the Fed told him to pound sand, but this notion that he wants the President to have influence over the Fed is simply terrifying.
Look, I realize that I don't really understand the point of partisan political rhetoric from either party. Maybe intellectual honesty just isn't a consideration. If you're just tossing out stuff for fun, then I withdraw my comments.