In 40 years, Jews will be a massive REPUBLICAN voting bloc

[Mac-7]

Just run the math. There are about 6 million Jews in America, and around 15% of them are Orthodox, or close to 1 million. And the Orthodox vote overwhelmingly Republican.

They also have a lot of kids - averaging 8 per family. In a generation, that means 4 million Orthodox. When those 4 million have kids, beginning in 20 years, it becomes 16 million. (Multiplying by 4 and not 8 since it takes two Orthodox Jews to produce those kids.)

Those new Orthodox Jews represent about 5% of voters, the majority of whom will vote Republican. Enough to tip the scales in every swing state.

Pew study: 75% of US Orthodox Jews identify as Republicans, up from 57% in 2013

Underlining growing polarization in community, 2020 survey finds that among all American Jews, 71% are or lean Democratic

www.timesofisrael.com

The Jews are God’s chosen people and will always have my suport

But when it comes to politics they are discouragingly stupid

I have given up hoping that they will come around to voting their best interests

 

[Resnic]

I'm surprised all Jews aren't republicans. From the few Jews I knew in my life they were straight forward and only cared about being able to build a good life for themselves and like things like law and order.

Republicans want a strong America that is independent, smart, powerful, strong economy, and have a good society. Seems like everything a jew would also want.

Sigh, but then there's the Hispanic "math" that has yet to be fully determined.

I don't really worry about the black vote anymore as they will be at 11% given the way they abort and kill each other off in wholesale lots.

Yeah but blacks also fuck like rabbits going from person to person to person with no regard for protection or raising a kid. So they abort and kill in equal to illegitimate kids they spread around. Blacks are the modern day johnny Appleseed, they roam around leaving their seed allover the place. Most of them are savages and all savages know how to do is kill and fuck.

 

[rosends]

You’re assuming they will all remain Orthodox. That’s really hard to believe. Many religious communities are losing their youth and Orthodox Jews are no exception.

Actually, iirc (and I can check the stats tomorrow) orthodox jewry is one segment of Judaism which is not shrinking.

 

[rosends]

I'm surprised all Jews aren't republicans. From the few Jews I knew in my life they were straight forward and only cared about being able to build a good life for themselves and like things like law and order.

Republicans want a strong America that is independent, smart, powerful, strong economy, and have a good society. Seems like everything a jew would also want.



Yeah but blacks also fuck like rabbits going from person to person to person with no regard for protection or raising a kid. So they abort and kill in equal to illegitimate kids they spread around. Blacks are the modern day johnny Appleseed, they roam around leaving their seed allover the place. Most of them are savages and all savages know how to do is kill and fuck.

There are historical reasons that Jews often allied with Democrats (much had to do with overlapping common ideals regarding social justice).

 

[Skylar]

Just run the math. There are about 6 million Jews in America, and around 15% of them are Orthodox, or close to 1 million. And the Orthodox vote overwhelmingly Republican.

They also have a lot of kids - averaging 8 per family. In a generation, that means 4 million Orthodox. When those 4 million have kids, beginning in 20 years, it becomes 16 million. (Multiplying by 4 and not 8 since it takes two Orthodox Jews to produce those kids.)

Those new Orthodox Jews represent about 5% of voters, the majority of whom will vote Republican. Enough to tip the scales in every swing state.

Pew study: 75% of US Orthodox Jews identify as Republicans, up from 57% in 2013

Underlining growing polarization in community, 2020 survey finds that among all American Jews, 71% are or lean Democratic

www.timesofisrael.com

Its 10%. Or closer to about 750,000. 10 years ago, it was also about 10%. The proportion of jews that are orthodox in the US is pretty stable.

 

[konradv]

Actually, iirc (and I can check the stats tomorrow) orthodox jewry is one segment of Judaism which is not shrinking.

I didn’t say they were. I said the growth will not be as big as stated, because a significant number of those born into the sect will leave.

 

[JoeB131]

Okay, for those who took the OP seriously.

Jewish Voting Record in U.S. Presidential Elections

Encyclopedia of Jewish and Israeli history, politics and culture, with biographies, statistics, articles and documents on topics from anti-Semitism to Zionism.

www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org

Biden got 68% of the Jewish Vote in 2020.
Hillary got 71%
Obama got 79% the first time but only 69% the second time.
Kerry Got 76%
Gore got 79%
Slick Willy got 80 and 78%.

 

[rosends]

I didn’t say they were. I said the growth will not be as big as stated, because a significant number of those born into the sect will leave.

Your post was written in the present tense. (Many religious communities are losing their youth and Orthodox Jews are no exception)

I happen to have a synopsis of the 2013 Pew study as it relates to Orthodox Judaism and it doesn't agree with your prediction

A Portrait of American Orthodox Jews

Compared with most other Jewish Americans, Orthodox Jews on average are younger, get married earlier and have bigger families. They also tend to be more religiously observant and more socially and politically conservative.

www.pewresearch.org

This article includes more recent projections based on that study

The American Jewish Community Will Look Different in 50 Years

A new study by Yale SOM’s Edieal Pinker finds that in the coming decades, the more liberal Reform and Conservative denominations will shrink and the number of Jews identifying as Orthodox will grow.

insights.som.yale.edu

This more recent study focuses on chareidim but shows an increase

Haredi Jews around the world: Population trends and estimates

www.jpr.org.uk

 

[konradv]

Your post was written in the present tense. (Many religious communities are losing their youth and Orthodox Jews are no exception)

I happen to have a synopsis of the 2013 Pew study as it relates to Orthodox Judaism and it doesn't agree with your prediction

A Portrait of American Orthodox Jews

Compared with most other Jewish Americans, Orthodox Jews on average are younger, get married earlier and have bigger families. They also tend to be more religiously observant and more socially and politically conservative.

www.pewresearch.org

This article includes more recent projections based on that study

The American Jewish Community Will Look Different in 50 Years

A new study by Yale SOM’s Edieal Pinker finds that in the coming decades, the more liberal Reform and Conservative denominations will shrink and the number of Jews identifying as Orthodox will grow.

insights.som.yale.edu

This more recent study focuses on chareidim but shows an increase

Haredi Jews around the world: Population trends and estimates

www.jpr.org.uk

Really? A study from 10 years ago! Do you still use MySpace?

 

[22lcidw]

Okay, for those who took the OP seriously.

Jewish Voting Record in U.S. Presidential Elections

Encyclopedia of Jewish and Israeli history, politics and culture, with biographies, statistics, articles and documents on topics from anti-Semitism to Zionism.

www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org

Biden got 68% of the Jewish Vote in 2020.
Hillary got 71%
Obama got 79% the first time but only 69% the second time.
Kerry Got 76%
Gore got 79%
Slick Willy got 80 and 78%.

I believe Jewish people vote this way due to how the perceptions of how they have been treated in not so good times. Having as many groups of humanity pushed for social justice as possible appeals to them due to this.

 

[rosends]

Really? A study from 10 years ago! Do you still use MySpace?

A couple of reactions to that.
1. No, I don't -- as an old man, it is my obligation to use facebook.
2. The Pew Study was from 2013 (as I noted) but the Yale study was significantly more recent (it was published in 2018)
3. The JPR study was even more recent.
4. Do you have any recent statistics which would bear out your prediction?
5. You are ignoring my grammatical point. I take it that you cannot pursue that particular line, unless you explain otherwise.

If it would help, I can keep looking for other recent studies which will, I expect, confirm what these say.

 

[konradv]

A couple of reactions to that.
1. No, I don't -- as an old man, it is my obligation to use facebook.
2. The Pew Study was from 2013 (as I noted) but the Yale study was significantly more recent (it was published in 2018)
3. The JPR study was even more recent.
4. Do you have any recent statistics which would bear out your prediction?
5. You are ignoring my grammatical point. I take it that you cannot pursue that particular line, unless you explain otherwise.

If it would help, I can keep looking for other recent studies which will, I expect, confirm what these say.

Religious activity is declining and Orthodox Jews are no different. All you have to do is search YouTube and you’ll find people telling their escape stories.

 

[rosends]

Religious activity is declining and Orthodox Jews are no different. All you have to do is search YouTube and you’ll find people telling their escape stories.

The stories you refer to are of people leaving specific Chareidi communities (not necessarily Orthodoxy as a whole) and represent a small group of Orthodox people. They are also anecdotal so they are statistically useless. Di you have any actual evidence? Are you speaking from within the community or are you basing your presumptions on a select group of YouTube videos?

 

[Failzero]

WTF, thousands leaving shitholes like California and New York isn't enough for you....dumbass.

Hundreds of thousands ( Many)

 

[Failzero]

Religious activity is declining and Orthodox Jews are no different. All you have to do is search YouTube and you’ll find people telling their escape stories.

Like the stories of escapes from Communist Bloc Countries & Cuba & North Korea & & Socialist shitholes and pro FGM Islamic Countries ?

 

[Staidhup]

So who cares? Ethnic and Racial voting blocks depend on the candidates. Funny how every wealthy trust fund babies I have met are democrats, one would think otherwise yet not the case. Most of the European and Asian immigrants I have met are conservative. In short people tend to vote their pocket book.

 

[Lisa558]

Like the stories of escapes from Communist Bloc Countries & Cuba & North Korea & & Socialist shitholes and pro FGM Islamic Countries ?

Yeah, his remark about “escaping” the beauty of Judaism was pretty telling, wasn’t it?

 

[konradv]

Like the stories of escapes from Communist Bloc Countries & Cuba & North Korea & & Socialist shitholes and pro FGM Islamic Countries ?

Yeah, they’re all cults to one degree or other. When you know, you go.

 

[Failzero]

Yeah, they’re all cults to one degree or other. When you know, you go.

The hatred of Israel ( The tiny Jewish State ) and Practicing Jews is strong in the American Left & Far Left .

 

[Stormy Daniels]

Just run the math. There are about 6 million Jews in America, and around 15% of them are Orthodox, or close to 1 million. And the Orthodox vote overwhelmingly Republican.

They also have a lot of kids - averaging 8 per family. In a generation, that means 4 million Orthodox. When those 4 million have kids, beginning in 20 years, it becomes 16 million. (Multiplying by 4 and not 8 since it takes two Orthodox Jews to produce those kids.)

Those new Orthodox Jews represent about 5% of voters, the majority of whom will vote Republican. Enough to tip the scales in every swing state.

Pew study: 75% of US Orthodox Jews identify as Republicans, up from 57% in 2013

Underlining growing polarization in community, 2020 survey finds that among all American Jews, 71% are or lean Democratic

www.timesofisrael.com

Of course, this assumes that 100% of children born to Orthodox families will remain Jewish, continue to hold Orthodox views and values (as opposed to veering towards other Jewish denominations), and will preserve statistical political trends of this particular moment in time.

....all without the slightest basis for those assumptions.