I don't see how the GOP wins FL

[GHook93]

Trump is right on illegal immigration, but his method is turning off Latinos, a very large segment of the FL population. The Cuban swing vote has been trending liberal as the younger Cuban population doesn't see the struggle like their parents and the opening relations to Cuba will help that shift. Jewish swing vote isn't going to go red anytime soon. And again the Latino population increased a bunch in the last 10 years.

The only candidate who has a chance is Rubio, but he doesn't seem like he will be there in the end.

All the Dems need is FL for victory.


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[JakeStarkey]

Trump must massage the Latino vote.

If he does not, the GOP loses.

 

[Sunni Man]

Trump will do just fine in Florida.

Most of the hispanics live in the southern part of the state.

Whereas, the rest of the state, especially the panhandle, is solid conservative Republican territory. ......

 

[Statistikhengst]

Trump must massage the Latino vote.

If he does not, the GOP loses.

"massage"???

 

[Statistikhengst]

Trump is right on illegal immigration, but his method is turning off Latinos, a very large segment of the FL population. The Cuban swing vote has been trending liberal as the younger Cuban population doesn't see the struggle like their parents and the opening relations to Cuba will help that shift. Jewish swing vote isn't going to go red anytime soon. And again the Latino population increased a bunch in the last 10 years.

The only candidate who has a chance is Rubio, but he doesn't seem like he will be there in the end.

All the Dems need is FL for victory.


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Yup.

 

[JakeStarkey]

That's unfair. I am returned from the gym, and I need a rub down.

 

[Statistikhengst]

That's unfair.

Whutt?!?!

 

[GHook93]

Trump will do just fine in Florida.

Most of the hispanics live in the southern part of the state.

Whereas, the rest of the state, especially the panhandle, is solid conservative Republican territory. ......

Bush (without going on a tangent he lost the popular vote to Gore) barely won the state, Obama took FL twice. Since Bush won the Hispanic population has exploded in FL. Even if Trump loses. The damage could be done. If the Hispanics vote like blacks and Jews, then kiss FL goodbye.


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[saveliberty]

I don't see how FL continues to believe the lies from Democrats, but just take a good look...

 

[Pete7469]

Cubans HATE mexicans, especially illegal mexicans.

 

[JakeStarkey]

Cubans HATE mexicans, especially illegal mexicans.

The younger Cubans will vote against Trump as will the rest of the Latinos, if he does not make serious amends.

 

[Ravi]

Trump is right on illegal immigration, but his method is turning off Latinos, a very large segment of the FL population. The Cuban swing vote has been trending liberal as the younger Cuban population doesn't see the struggle like their parents and the opening relations to Cuba will help that shift. Jewish swing vote isn't going to go red anytime soon. And again the Latino population increased a bunch in the last 10 years.

The only candidate who has a chance is Rubio, but he doesn't seem like he will be there in the end.

All the Dems need is FL for victory.


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I understand Trump plans to end the special immigration status that Cubans enjoy, namely that if they make it here they can become citizens without waiting in line.

That's gonna be so awesome

 

[Sunni Man]

The liberal's in Florida have a severe case of Obama/Democrat fatigue.

Cuban's are conservative and don't like illegal immigration.

And most of the non-Cuban hispanics are illegals so they can't vote.

The rest of Florida is solid conservative.

Thus a solid Republican victory is in store for Florida regardless of which candidate gets the party's nomination. ......

 

[RedTeamTex]

Trump is right on illegal immigration, but his method is turning off Latinos, a very large segment of the FL population. The Cuban swing vote has been trending liberal as the younger Cuban population doesn't see the struggle like their parents and the opening relations to Cuba will help that shift. Jewish swing vote isn't going to go red anytime soon. And again the Latino population increased a bunch in the last 10 years.

The only candidate who has a chance is Rubio, but he doesn't seem like he will be there in the end.

All the Dems need is FL for victory.


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Counting Bush or Rubio out is very premature, but even if the nominee is someone else with a realistic shot--Florida is inherently purple. I agree the Cuban vote has moderated over the years, but was the "Jewish swing vote" ever really swing?

Since the nominee won't be Trump, no one who isn't in the blue column already is going to hold Trump against the Republican nominee.

 

[Old Rocks]

If that nominee adopts Trump's stance to win the nomination, that will not be the case. As is, the GOP is losing points as those Americans who have latin roots look at the numbers Trump has garnered among the GOP.

 

[RedTeamTex]

Point taken...sliding hard-core right a'la Romney didn't do him any favors come November.

(Luckily, elephants never forget.)

 

[Old Rocks]

Well, Tex, let us hope you are right.

 

[JakeStarkey]

Trump just cost the Pubs the national election.

 

[ScienceRocks]

Trump will do just fine in Florida.

Most of the hispanics live in the southern part of the state.

Whereas, the rest of the state, especially the panhandle, is solid conservative Republican territory. ......

LOL, Florida in 2014 was only 56.6% white,,,while hispanics made up 23.3% of the state! Considering a large minority of these whites are going to vote democrat and are more then likely old people not wanting their ssi taken away...Well, Solid conservative is kind of misleading!

Florida is nearly 1% more hispanic then it was 4 years ago.
Want from 58.1% white in 2010 to 56.6% today!
15.5% black up from 15.3% in 2010. This is a group that votes over 90% democrat.
Asians 2.4% in 2010 to 2.6% in 2014. Another 73% democrat group!

Bush hardly won it in 2000 and McCain and Romney lost it out right....Lost it when the demographics where more in their favor.

 

[ScienceRocks]

The republicans can't afford to lose Florida and the same can be said about Virgina, NC, Ohio, etc. At least Iowa or Co is needed to put them over the top.