States "where Rump won" ---- by razor thin margins, in states that rarely swing that way in an exquisitely-timed perfect-storm moment.
But enough of that -- back to the big historical picture. Looks to me generally like Democrats mostly defending reliably Democrat seats and Republicans mostly defending reliably Republican ones. Brace for non-impact.
Don't be daft. Do you honestly think::WI, MI, IN, OH, PA, FL, ND, MT, and MO are reliably Dem?!
Those are 9 states that went for Trump.
You should get a job a Democrat pollster.
I;m seeing California, Washington, Maine, Vermont, Mass, RI, Connecticut, New Yawk, Jersey, New Mexico and Minnesota, which are usually locks, then I'm seeing Michigan, Wiscaaaaaaaaaahnsin and maybe Virginia which lean that way, then I'm seeing Flah-dah, Ohio and Missouri which are, as far as state trends, toss-ups with popular incumbents. Another popular incumbent in Montana and North Dakota holding a strong farm-labor tradition. If I were the DP I'm most concerned with West Virginia and Indiana, but not a whole lot beyond.
Rump won some of those states, which was strictly an anomaly that wouldn't have happened had the election been held as little as a week sooner or a week later. Again, big picture historically. What matters is not a snapshot taken on one day of November 8 but the ongoing historical pattern.
Then I'm seeing Texas, Tennessee, Mississippi, Utah, Wyoming and Nebraska, all reliably red, Aridzona a bit less so, and Nevada a toss-up.
All of which is still a cluster of general indices --- again we do not know who they're running against, and we do not know what events they or their opponents will become associated with in the next year and a half, so there ain't much to go on but that's all we have for now.
Let's review in a year and a half.