You're making the *exact* same empty accusations that were made in 2012. Verbatim. For someone who wants to highlight how 'different' the elections are, you're recycling the same exact debunked nonsense.
Your conspiracy has been weight and tested. It failed. Polling was weighed and tested. And it was reasonably accurate. With polling analysts like Nate Silver calling the 2012 election with stunning accuracy.
All polls have a margin of error. Which is why we use polling aggregates for the most reliable results. The polls AND the polling aggregates show Clinton is ahead.
For your theory to be true, all the margin of error for *all* polls would have to be breaking in the exact same direction AND there would have to be widespread and intentional skewing of polls.
Either of which is ludicrously unlikely. Both together being a virtual impossibility.
And your theory has been tested. It failed miserably.
Conservative pundits made the exact same accusations you did today in 2012. They claimed that polling was skewed for democrats and against republicans for the exact same reasons you did. And when the election was finally concluded......
......the opposite was true. 19 of 23 polls were biased FOR republicans. By as many as 7 points.
With similar claims made in 2008 by republicans...and 2004 by Democrats. Both were wrong.
Your claims have a perfect track record of failure. Making your faith in them irrational.
Trump is losing in virtually every poll of likely voters. You're simply ignoring any result that doesn't confirm what you want to believe.
That's Confirmation Bias. And its a classic fallacy of logic that has a proven track record of inaccuracy and misinformation.
Just like your accusations.
No matter how many times you say that my argument is the exact same as what Romneys supporters gave in 2012:
1. it is irrelevant since we have two different candidates and a new election. The past election record does not determine future elections, dude.
The circumstances you're describing about 'who takes the polls' were the same in 2012 as they are in 2016. Your argument was tested.
It failed epically and completely.
You're ignoring the perfect record of failure of your own theory. And ignoring the solid track record of predicting elections in polling. Then imagining, based on no evidence, that your theory works.
That's just Confirmation Bias.
2. My arguments are different and that you misrepressent them proves you are not grasping them, not at all.
Quote me 'misrepresenting' them. You've claimed that based on who is taking the polls, the information is untrustworthy.
That theory was tested in 2012, 2008 and 2004. It failed every time. Meanwhile, poll analysists like Nate Silver called the election with near perfection.
So you ignore history, ignore the perfect record of failure of your own theory, ignore your complete lack of evidence, ignore polling calling elections.....and imagine what you wish.
Ignoring evidence doesn't make it disappear. Citing your imagination doesn't make it reality. You're doubling down on fallacies of logic.
Its not going to end well for you. And come November...I'm going to remind you of this. Of how it was your systematic failure of process, of how you knowingly embraced logical fallacies, and how you ignored overwhelming evidence that could have helped you accurately forecast the results.
You are trying to make this bullshit argument that Hillary's election is inevitable, and it is not, but that is about the last argument she has left, as ridiculous as it is.
I'm saying what the polls indicate: that Hillary has a strong lead nationally and an enormous lead in key battle ground states that Trump must win.
But isn't.
And I'm saying that you're ignoring overwhelming evidence that contradicts what you want to believe. That what you're doing is engaging in the logical fallacy of Confirmation Bias. And that Confirmation Bias has a notoriously poor record of accuracy.
Generally
worse than guessing.