Litwin
Platinum Member
Great news for EU ""Russia" has weakened because of Putin's adventures." Will Moscow help Yerevan? " Answer is clear no, question is what Moscow lose the next time Karelia, outer Manchuria, Siberia, Tatarstan ?
great article , highly recommend it to you , some highlights :
" Unlike Turkey, which openly supports Azerbaijan in an effort to regain the disputed territories, Russia, which is an official ally of Armenia and has a military base on the territory of this country, is in no hurry to intervene in the conflict, limiting itself to calls for a ceasefire.
...
- are drones really the deciding factor in this conflict?
- Certainly. Several factors are at play here. First, a very large-scale electronic intelligence system. Obviously, since Turkey is involved on a large scale in the conflict, they have space intelligence data, they control - apparently from space - the front line, they have operational data that Azerbaijan receives, so they know where to send the drones. They use drones on a massive scale, obviously, these are large Turkish supplies, supplies from Israel. Drones are used in groups, they are used in large numbers. And they are provided with electronic warfare equipment. Radio-technical reconnaissance and means of electronic warfare allowed Azerbaijan to destroy with one blow essentially the entire military air defense, which covered the forward positions of the troops....
we see that Russia has become so weakened recently as a result of Putin's numerous adventures, as a result of engaging in wars in Ukraine, Syria, Africa, as a result of sanctions, conflicts of various kinds, poisoning, as a result of this chaotic policy. Putin's Russia has weakened its authority so much that, in fact, this war shows that Turkey is the regional leader in the Caucasus, not Russia. And Russia is afraid of any active actions at all, even statements on this matter,that is, he is afraid to state his position.
...
Russia is in conflict with the whole world, is involved in such a number of problematic issues that authority, influence has all been lost, and Russia is now really afraid of Turkey, because any form of confrontation with Turkey would mean a fairly quick elimination of Putin's Syrian adventure. Putin has embarked on an adventure in Syria that is absolutely senseless for him, and naturally, Turkey now has a very convenient leverage to influence Moscow. With this Russian adventure, the Russian group in Syria hostage, Erdogan can absolutely calmly, with impunity and confidently dictate to Russia new rules of the game in the Caucasus. Therefore, I think that Russia will not intervene. Turkey, it seems to me, will not conduct a direct military invasion from its territory,but will provide Azerbaijan with full assistance and, from an international legal point of view, will generally use this situation. From the point of view of international law, the liberation of the so-called "buffer zone" by Azerbaijan is an absolutely impeccable story, and therefore Aliyev and Erdogan, of course, are clearly playing it out. And I think that here they will move on
(In 1993, the inclusion of the "buffer zone" by Nagorno Karabakh in its composition was qualified by the UN Security Council as the occupation of the territory of Azerbaijan by local Armenian forces. - Note RS) .
"
https://translate.google.com/translate?sl=ru&tl=en&u=https://www.svoboda.org/a/30868597.html
great article , highly recommend it to you , some highlights :
" Unlike Turkey, which openly supports Azerbaijan in an effort to regain the disputed territories, Russia, which is an official ally of Armenia and has a military base on the territory of this country, is in no hurry to intervene in the conflict, limiting itself to calls for a ceasefire.
...
- are drones really the deciding factor in this conflict?
- Certainly. Several factors are at play here. First, a very large-scale electronic intelligence system. Obviously, since Turkey is involved on a large scale in the conflict, they have space intelligence data, they control - apparently from space - the front line, they have operational data that Azerbaijan receives, so they know where to send the drones. They use drones on a massive scale, obviously, these are large Turkish supplies, supplies from Israel. Drones are used in groups, they are used in large numbers. And they are provided with electronic warfare equipment. Radio-technical reconnaissance and means of electronic warfare allowed Azerbaijan to destroy with one blow essentially the entire military air defense, which covered the forward positions of the troops....
we see that Russia has become so weakened recently as a result of Putin's numerous adventures, as a result of engaging in wars in Ukraine, Syria, Africa, as a result of sanctions, conflicts of various kinds, poisoning, as a result of this chaotic policy. Putin's Russia has weakened its authority so much that, in fact, this war shows that Turkey is the regional leader in the Caucasus, not Russia. And Russia is afraid of any active actions at all, even statements on this matter,that is, he is afraid to state his position.
...
Russia is in conflict with the whole world, is involved in such a number of problematic issues that authority, influence has all been lost, and Russia is now really afraid of Turkey, because any form of confrontation with Turkey would mean a fairly quick elimination of Putin's Syrian adventure. Putin has embarked on an adventure in Syria that is absolutely senseless for him, and naturally, Turkey now has a very convenient leverage to influence Moscow. With this Russian adventure, the Russian group in Syria hostage, Erdogan can absolutely calmly, with impunity and confidently dictate to Russia new rules of the game in the Caucasus. Therefore, I think that Russia will not intervene. Turkey, it seems to me, will not conduct a direct military invasion from its territory,but will provide Azerbaijan with full assistance and, from an international legal point of view, will generally use this situation. From the point of view of international law, the liberation of the so-called "buffer zone" by Azerbaijan is an absolutely impeccable story, and therefore Aliyev and Erdogan, of course, are clearly playing it out. And I think that here they will move on
(In 1993, the inclusion of the "buffer zone" by Nagorno Karabakh in its composition was qualified by the UN Security Council as the occupation of the territory of Azerbaijan by local Armenian forces. - Note RS) .
"
https://translate.google.com/translate?sl=ru&tl=en&u=https://www.svoboda.org/a/30868597.html