They are saying that they are selling more metals than actually exsist .
What will that do for people who hold gold on paper?
If you dont recieve a hunk of metal what have you bought?
Yes, that is the argument.
For example, gold is traded on the NYMEX. Something like $140 billion on gold futures are outstanding but the exchange only has $3 billion for delivery. The reason for this is because most people who trade futures don't want gold delivered to them when the contract expires. The argument is that one day, people are going to want to hold the physical gold, and there isn't enough supply to meet the demand when owners of gold futures contracts start demanding physical gold. When this happens, the price of physical gold will soar as the exchange has to scramble to buy at any price to deliver the gold it owes to the futures holders.
Think its not possible? There has been a scramble to buy gold and silver in Germany and Austria over the past week as Germans and Austrians fear monetary chaos from the collapsing euro. The Austrian mint had record demand for silver coins, and may have run out of supply (I can't remember).
The gold price you see traded on the TV is a futures price, not the actual price of physical. The physical price of gold actually trades above the futures price by 3%-10%.
I am not one of these black helicopter/guns/canned food end-of-the-world nutters, and I'm not prone to panics, but for the first time ever, I am thinking about buying physical gold. Not only that, but I'm thinking about buying it up in Canada and keeping it in a safety deposit box in Canada, just in case the US government decides it wants to expropriate your gold like FBR did. I'd put the odds of that happening at 5% or less but there is 0% chance of that happening in Canada.
I probably won't do that as there are easier ways to play the physical gold market. There are two traded ETFs which hold physical gold, the Sprott Physical Gold Trust, ticker PHYS, and the ETFS Gold Trust ETF, ticker SGOL. The Sprott ETF has audited bars in Canada. The ETFS ETF has audited bars in Switzerland. Both are out of the reach of the US government. The PHYS trades at a 12% premium to the spot price of gold whereas the SGOL trades pretty much in line. I'd be inclined to buy the ETF without the premium. I own calls on the most popular gold ETF, the GLD. It too claims to own physical gold but many investors question this claim.