George Friedman : Putin Will Be Humiliated - Moscow empire Is Facing Total Annihilation

Yea you keep claiming Putin is done and Russia will collapse into dust.

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If the Ukranians can hold out for the next 7 months and inflict more Russian casualties than they do....the Ukranians will "win".

There's a LOT of Russian troops in Ukraine right now....and Russia has wasted a LOT of human resources there. As well as equipment. But the Ukranians have held out and fought well.
Even though they are losing Bakhmut (and indeed have spent too many lives trying to hang onto the city) they still have a significant amount of soldiers and equipment that the West continues to provide.

They got a good chance of embarrassing Putin and winning this war. Especially with the ongoing sanctions. Russia simply won't be able to afford to fight....especially with their currency dropping another 20% recently and their oil prices dropping even further.

They have been seen running around the world trying to buy munitions....not a good sign for them. Meaning that they are making themselves toothless as they expend munitions in Ukraine.
 
currency dropping another 20% recently and their oil prices dropping even further.
yes, did you read any book on Japanese - Muscovite war ? which Moscow lost and almost collapsed as an empire ? there so many similarities ....

what do you think about Moscow outstretched logistic ? Look , Moscow tanks are made in Ural , all trade with China goes by A single-track railway, Belarusian potash (many other goods) export to China use the same A single-track railway. Moscow Railways (RZD) is UNDER SANCTIONS , WHICH means its capacity is declining . I expect a logistic collapse, very soon , specially if will work with 4 stans very tight on this
With cost of “black gold” at 15-23 dollars per barrel, the USSR economy collapsed, and the sovok itself collapsed, and the "golden" horde ("russia") budget can only be fulfilled only with oil price at $ 42.4 and higher


 
yes, did you read any book on Japanese - Muscovite war ? which Moscow lost and almost collapsed as an empire ? there so many similarities ....

what do you think about Moscow outstretched logistic ? Look , Moscow tanks are made in Ural , all trade with China goes by A single-track railway, Belarusian potash (many other goods) export to China use the same A single-track railway. Moscow Railways (RZD) is UNDER SANCTIONS , WHICH means its capacity is declining . I expect a logistic collapse, very soon , specially if will work with 4 stans very tight on this
With cost of “black gold” at 15-23 dollars per barrel, the USSR economy collapsed, and the sovok itself collapsed, and the "golden" horde ("russia") budget can only be fulfilled only with oil price at $ 42.4 and higher




The Russians are predictable....they are following the same paths that have taken them to destruction every time before.

And yet they still can't seem to figure out what keeps causing them to collapse.

Fiat currencies need open, honest, and transparent governments to work....and if you have that your economy will flourish.

However, graft, cheating, and imbezzlement will collapse it every time.

I forsee Russia needing to issue yet ANOTHER 3 rounds of Rubles to get to a stable one that will become accepted worldwide.
 
However, graft, cheating, and imbezzlement will collapse it every time.
great post man, still, the main reason here is badly outdated form of government (oriental despotism) Moscovy , look , genghisid empires belong to the past thats why manchu empire collapsed in 1910, and Moscow ulus in 1917. i´ll write more about it later


here the major points , except ( "Muscovy was invaded many times ", which RT.ru BS, all countries were invaded many times , even US which blessed with Geography )

 
great post man, still, the main reason here is badly outdated form of government (oriental despotism) Moscovy , look , genghisid empires belong to the past thats why manchu empire collapsed in 1910, and Moscow ulus in 1917. i´ll write more about it later


here the major points , except ( "Muscovy was invaded many times ", which RT.ru BS, all countries were invaded many times , even US which blessed with Geography )



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