Every winter, the liars trot out the "experts said snowfalls are thing of the past!" big lie.
That's the sign of a dying cult. They can't even be bothered to fake new propaganda. They're just phoning it in.
No expert has ever said "snowfalls are a thing of the past". Lie much?
Not without qualifying it first with "if current trends continue..." or " According to the latest models....."
And yet YOU can't find me the website that has those quotes.....
Cause it's a secret.
Seriously, it was the models. This bit's right need the top, first indented section.
"Regarding the second item (the future of snow in the UK, it was a newspaper quote (in the Independent) of an individual scientist, not by the Met Office as such, and was anticipating conditions in 2020, so regardless it’s a bit early to be criticizing it.
But the 2020 prognosis is almost certainly wrong, although for a very interesting reason. (This is from recent work done by Francis and Vavrus, primarily.)
It is the case that there was a general expectation from the modeling results circa 2000 that climate zones would continue to shift poleward (consequent to expansion of the tropics) and that the already not-too-snowy UK climate would become even less so, especially if we’re talking London and southern England. That was all fair enough given the science of the time, but then polar amplification threw a large and unanticipated monkey wrench into the works in the form of changes in the northern jet stream.
While the climate zones indeed have continued their northward movement, the jet has slowed and increased its amplitude, making it possible for cold weather to set up and persist farther south than would otherwise have been the case. Worse than that for UK winters, a related change is the much-increased tendency for a persistent high to set up around southern Greenland, with a resulting downstream trough tending to channel high-latitude winter weather straight into the UK.
So, while it would appear that those snow-bearing storms won’t largely taper off (i.e. turn to rain) by 2020, none of this reflects poorly on the scientist who made the statement except insofar as he failed to anticipate an unknown unknown that has made things worse.
postnormaltimes.net is your first and best source for information about postnormaltimes. Here you will also find topics relating to issues of general interest. We hope you find what you are looking for!
www.postnormaltimes.net