Evening before election: RCP No Tossups: Hillary ahead by **6** electoral votes

Little-Acorn

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Jun 20, 2006
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At 3:30PM Pacific time, The Real Clear Politics average of electoral college votes (with no toss-up states, just like the actual election will be) has Hillary ahead by just 6 electoral votes.

That's with some of the states well within the margin of error, often less than a percentage point difference. One little nudge from Trump (or from his supporters who didn't feel like talking to pollsters, like me), and a Hillary state can become a Trump state. As for Hillary, she's nudged out. She's called in all her markers and cannot possibly draw any more states her way, not even a little.

The bell is tolling, Hillary... it's tolling for you.

RCPavgEC_NoTossUps_07Nov2016.jpg


For example, if (say) Delaware changed from a Hillary state to a Trump state, the electoral college will be tied. That throws the election into the House of Representatives. Remind me again, who hold the majority in the House?
 
BTW, there is at least one electoral delegate who has sworn she will not vote for Hillary even if Hillary wins her state.

They have that choice, you know.
 

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