Even Mormon Romney(which can't maximize white race support & raise white race turn out) got 45% in Minnesota and 46.6% in Pennsylvania. TRUMP, Which person can increase white voters turnout & supports, He easily can gain 3-4% more and take PA&MN. (As I wrote in this thread Polls number also prove it.)
It's so ridiculous some Liberals think MN&PA are blue states.
Of the two, Trump would have a better shot in MN than PA. He has no chance in either state. Period.
but what do u think about latest poll says TRUMP 45% Hillary 43% in PA?
Well, let me first say that not too long ago, MN elected Jesse Ventura and Al Franken in statewide races so they can definitely go off the map and ideology usually doesn't play a role. There is a term called
Minnesota Nice however to which Trump is the antithesis.
As for the poll, remember there is no campaigning going on in Pennsylvania right now and will not be for several weeks. When it does, Hillary will likely be the only horse left in the Democratic race and Trump will be (if he is still in it) a target of the political opponent (if any are left). You'll see his negatives raise and his supporters questioning everything from his Republican credentials to his ethics to his policies. It's a target-rich environment for all contenders when you have hardball politicians on other team but when you have zero record, zero sound policies,and what are, at best, shaky ethics, the opposition is happy to supply the narrative. That will happen with Trump.
Today's polling of 45-43 is a popularity contest and little else.
Just wait until Bill gets out there...
In a binary race, a gaffe by one is a direct + to the only opponent. So one should never say never but outside of a self-inflicted wound or international scale game changer; Trump is not going to win the following states:
ME
NH
VT
CT
RI
NY
NJ
PA
DE
DC
MD
VA
MI
IL
WI
MN
NM
CA
OR
WA
HI
That's 264. I gave him NV because of his presence in NV and he may be able to parlay that into winning the two or three counties in NV that matter.
You can pretty much write off Florida as well depending on how energized the voters are. Its hard to see Hispanics (many of whom have cousins, friends, and neighbors that Trump has called "rapists") vote for him or establishment Republicans. But the power of the "D" and the "R" next to the name maybe too much to ignore (that works both ways).
But back to the map:
CO, FL, AZ, MO, AR, NV, IA, OH, NC and MT are also in play.
That gets Clinton to 377. I predicted 400 EVs if Trump gets the nomination. I could see TN/IN and GA flipping too if the Clinton Machine makes
no mistakes and Trump has his inevitable meltdown. Either one gets Clinton to 400.