BuckToothMoron
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- Apr 3, 2016
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If there is a split this year, popular outcry would be to finally do away with the Electoral College. If the Electors really are bound by their state votes, the Electoral College makes no sense anyways. Electors that blindly follow the popular vote wasn't the real point.How Trump Could Win The White House While Losing The Popular Vote
This came up earlier in another discussion, but the article above demonstrates why it's more likely for Trump to win the Electoral College and lose the popular than the reverse. From the article:
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Here’s why: Several of Trump’s worst demographic groups happen to be concentrated in states, such as California, New York, Texas and Utah, that are either not competitive or that aren’t on Trump’s must-win list. Conversely, whites without a college degree — one of Trump’s strongest groups — represent a huge bloc in three blue states he would need to turn red to have the best chance of winning 270 electoral votes: Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.
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FiveThirtyEight posits this as having a 6% chance of happening so it isn't likely, but as the race tightens those odds will grow.
It's happened before, and in similar times of political angst.
To me, I would make the electors in each State go by their congressional districts, with the 2 electors for senator determined by State-wide vote.
If we go to popular vote for President, to me we would have to go back to State legislature election of Senators to compensate.
As for State selected Senators: I'm in favor of that in theory but you'd need to look at why that as a process went away. Most states willingly abandoned the process and were directly electing Senators. Those that didn't abandon it on their own were having a remarkably hard time getting it together and selecting Senators meaning the Senate would sometimes have issue meeting quorum and frequently had multiple empty seats. On top of that, the State selecting the Electors encouraged the patronage system we've since moved away from.
At this point in US History the States are so weak as political entities I'm not sure they'd even be interested in holding on to the Electoral College or reclaiming Senator selection.
Doing away with popular election of senators would force states to become more involved and limit the power at the federal level. The point was for the state governments to have representatives in congress. With the 17th amendment they have none.
With regard to electoral votes- going to popular election would diminish the voice of smaller states; canidates wouldn't spend time campaigning in rural areas where only a few hundred folks would show up. They would rather concentrate on highly populated areas. Small purple states would be ignored. Bad idea!