Early Voting Indicates a Decisive Harris Win

[toobfreak]

Dems pull this polling lie shit every election to try to suppress Republican voter turnout.

There is nothing "decisive" about this election except that by nearly EVERY reliable indicator, Trump has been trending upward continually while after Harris' initial bump and people got to see and hear her more, she has been trending DOWNWARD, with her likely falling behind in nearly every key swing state.

• Polling is worthless to democrats except when it shows them what they want to see.
• The electoral college is flawed, except when they win it.
• The popular vote counts for everything with them, until Trump wins it.
• They want to do away with the Supreme Court just because it ruled one time on the law that didn't go their way.

 

[Stormy Daniels]

In an unusual turnout, Republicans have been dominating in early voting this year, but it may not be what it seems. Exit polling of those who have voted early shows Harris with a lopsided lead over Trump. Additionally, turnout among women is roughly ten percentage points higher than men. This would indicate that many of those early Republican voters are women who are crossing over for Harris. MAGA seems to realize this as well because they've been sounding the alarm on social media.

But can we really be so sure that there isn't also a reciprocal crossover of men who normally vote Democrat who might be lured to Donald's side? Or, perhaps, a drop off in participation among men who normally support Democrats? The left has equally been alarmed in recent weeks about black men supporting Harris, for example.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

But can we really be so sure that there isn't also a reciprocal crossover of men who normally vote Democrat who might be lured to Donald's side? Or, perhaps, a drop off in participation among men who normally support Democrats? The left has equally been alarmed in recent weeks about black men supporting Harris, for example.

Yes, but I doubt it's at the same level. Dobbs is still a big issue with women.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

Pennsylvania trends not looking good for Trump

Registered Democrats account for about 58 percent of votes cast by seniors, compared to 35 percent for Republicans, Politico reported on Thursday. The over-65s have cast nearly half of the early ballots so far.

The over-65s historically vote in higher numbers during elections than any other age group.

Trump won more support from the over-65s in both the 2020 and 2016 elections nationally. The former president got around 53 percent of the senior vote in Pennsylvania at the 2020 election while still losing the state to Joe Biden.

Tom Bonier, a Democratic strategist and CEO of the data firm TargetSmart, said he is surprised by what he is calling the "silver surge" in early voting from senior Democrats.

"Our expectation going into the early vote was that it would, in general, skew substantially more Republican than in 2020," Bonier told Politico. "There is no more pandemic, Democrats were more Covid conscious...and Republicans have been pushing early voting."

The early voting figures suggesting Harris is leading among the over-65s is also backed by recent polling.

A Fox News survey conducted from October 24 to 28 of 1,310 registered Pennsylvania voters showed that Harris has a 5-point lead over Trump among over-65s (51 percent to 46). The margin of error was plus or minus 2.5 percentage points.

MSN

www.msn.com

 

[para bellum]

I thought the pollsters gave up on exit polls back in 2000, lol. I guess they have resurrected them.

The more they gaslight themselves about normal voting patterns being extraordinary, the bigger the tearfest will be on Tuesday.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

Veteran pollster Nate Silver said Friday’s Marist poll bodes well for Vice President Harris’s campaign, with just days until the election.

Silver, the founder of ABC’s 538, took to social media to share his opinion, suggesting the lead in the three “blue wall” states that went for former President Trump in 2016 and flipped back to President Biden in 2020 could be encouraging for Harris.


“Reassuring polls for Harris in the sense that the race is likely to remain toss-up-ish,” he posted on the social platform X. “Unless the final NYT/Siena state polls all tilt in the same direction I guess.”

The Marist poll found the vice president is leading Trump by 3 points in Michigan and 2 points in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, an increase from similar Marist polls released in September.

MSN

www.msn.com

 

[Road Runner]

I TOLD YOU there's no dirty trick the NASTY Democrats won't use to steal an election.

Yeah but I don't think that they're going to get away with it. What do you think, should I bet my membership against this faggot OP's moderator status or no? A part of me REALLY wants to since then we might have a good chance of getting rid of him permanently but I'm not so sure about whether or not the democrats are going to cheat to win this thing.

 

[para bellum]

Marist and CNN both came out with the same numbers on the same day to shift the averages back to even-ish in swing states.

Suppression polls won't keep Trump voters home. I'll put my money on the guys that do county-by-county election analytics for a living...

 

[braalian]

Yeah but I don't think that they're going to get away with it. What do you think, should I bet my membership against this faggot OP's moderator status or no? A part of me REALLY wants to since then we might have a good chance of getting rid of him permanently but I'm not so sure about whether or not the democrats are going to cheat to win this thing.

We get it already.

If your side loses, the only explanation is cheating.

If your side wins, the system worked.

It’s a very convenient position to take

 

[initforme]

Everyone knows this is going to be a nip and tuck close election. Polls mean nothing.

 

[Road Runner]

We get it already.

If your side loses, the only explanation is cheating.

If your side wins, the system worked.

It’s a very convenient position to take

Yeah, because nobody with half a brain is going to want to vote for Kamala so it can't possibly be legit. Never can be with today's democratic party.

 

[Blisterfinger]

I voted early for the first time.
I voted for TRUMP.
I suspect that there are a LOT of people that did the same.

Increasingly it's looking amazingly good for Trump. I am getting less and less Flack from left Wingers on here. The silence is golden

 

[initforme]

I'm not casting a vote due to thev2 choices offered...vindicationnis what I feel

 

[JohnDB]

Lots of controversy around this guy lately....

No doubt about it....he had it coming

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

We get it already.

If your side loses, the only explanation is cheating.

If your side wins, the system worked.

It’s a very convenient position to take

They're a cult.

 

[braalian]

Yeah, because nobody with half a brain is going to want to vote for Kamala so it can't possibly be legit. Never can be with today's democratic party.

Either the system works and is legitimate, or it isn’t.

You don’t get to say it works when you win and it doesn’t when you lose. It’s the same system.

 

[JLW]

Watch the rhetoric on the voter fraud lie.

That rhetoric will increase in proportion to the increasing possibility that Kamala will win.

Based on the rhetoric, I would say Trumpers are nervous indeed.

 

[JWBooth]

Early Voting Indicates a Decisive Harris Win​

We’re fucked either way, more so for the remnant of useful and productive among us if that brain dead twat wins.

 

[BluesLegend]

Yeah but I don't think that they're going to get away with it. What do you think, should I bet my membership against this faggot OP's moderator status or no? A part of me REALLY wants to since then we might have a good chance of getting rid of him permanently but I'm not so sure about whether or not the democrats are going to cheat to win this thing.

Bro the Dems lie and weasel out on bets and promises daily.

 

[Stormy Daniels]

Yes, but I doubt it's at the same level. Dobbs is still a big issue with women.

Intuitively, I agree. I just can't shake the want to see it reflected in polling data, though. But toward that end, the new Marist poll released today reflects a 50/48 split for Harris, with 1% undecided and 1% voting for other choices. And an Atlas poll released yesterday shows a 48/49 split in favor of Donald, which is more a narrowing of the 47/50 split in favor of Donald they released two days earlier. It's all within the margin of error, but the implied momentum seems to support your position.