Donald Trump continues to dive in the polls.
- Thread starter JLW
- Start date
JLW
Diamond Member
- Sep 16, 2012
- 16,560
- 17,954
- 2,405
- Thread starter
- #22
Over the last month???? I’m looking at polls over the past 72 hours. They’re the polls that matter.Not if you look at the poll average trends over the last month. Quite the opposite, but if it makes you feel better to cherry pick Democrat biased single polls knock yourself out.
MarathonMike
Diamond Member
- Moderator
- #24
Enthusiasm based on what? Her rallies that require popular entertainers to fill the seats?
"Enthusiasm Surges Among Democratic Voters": New Gallup Poll Signals Optimism for Harris in Upcoming Election
A new Gallup poll shows a significant enthusiasm advantage for Democratic voters, with 77% expressing increased motivation to vote—compared to 67% of Republicans.
www.menzmag.com
MarathonMike
Diamond Member
FYI I'm looking at the early voting data from North Carolina. Democrats are under-performing in every single county compared to the last election."Enthusiasm Surges Among Democratic Voters": New Gallup Poll Signals Optimism for Harris in Upcoming Election
A new Gallup poll shows a significant enthusiasm advantage for Democratic voters, with 77% expressing increased motivation to vote—compared to 67% of Republicans.
Trump underpolled in 2020 by 3.9%. That means he wins every swing state and the EC in a landslide. in 2024. If that doesn't happen, it's proof the election was stolen again, and Republicans should act accordingly.A final poll by the New York Times has Donald Trump behind Kamala Harris in four critical swing states: Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina and Wisconsin.
They are tied in Michigan and Pennsylvania and Trump is up by one point in Arizona. It's a razor-thin race with just two days to go to Election Day.
Presidential election recap: Kamala Harris surges in two swing states
U.S. ELECTION LIVE BLOG: Follow all the developments with just two days until Election Day.www.dailymail.co.uk
View attachment 1035790
Harris and Trump Battle to the Wire in Swing States, Times/Siena Polls Find
Donald J. Trump has improved his standing in Pennsylvania even as late-deciding voters appear to be breaking for Kamala Harris.www.nytimes.com
******************
This election was always Trump’s to lose.
Of course Kamala’s secret weapon and her October surprise was Trump’s mouth and his spewing of his daily asininity.
Not good news for Trump as I think Trump fever has broken and the electorate is over him.
Trend lines are clear.
Could be wrong, but it does appear that way.
j-mac
Nuthin' but the truth
- Moderator
- #29
You're discounting the number of women crossing over to Harris over Roe.
MarathonMike
Diamond Member
I'm looking at data and discounting nothing. There will be some GOP women who get suckered on the fake "Reproductive Rights" narrative, but that will be countered with Hispanic and Black voter crossovers from DEM to GOP.
- Moderator
- #32
That's what you were relying on in 2022 and it didn't materialize.
Nostra
Diamond Member
- Oct 7, 2019
- 77,157
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Top Battlegrounds – RCP AverageA final poll by the New York Times has Donald Trump behind Kamala Harris in four critical swing states: Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina and Wisconsin.
They are tied in Michigan and Pennsylvania and Trump is up by one point in Arizona. It's a razor-thin race with just two days to go to Election Day.
Presidential election recap: Kamala Harris surges in two swing states
U.S. ELECTION LIVE BLOG: Follow all the developments with just two days until Election Day.
View attachment 1035790
Harris and Trump Battle to the Wire in Swing States, Times/Siena Polls Find
Donald J. Trump has improved his standing in Pennsylvania even as late-deciding voters appear to be breaking for Kamala Harris.
******************
This election was always Trump’s to lose.
Of course Kamala’s secret weapon and her October surprise was Trump’s mouth and his spewing of his daily asininity.
Not good news for Trump as I think Trump fever has broken and the electorate is over him.
Trend lines are clear.
Could be wrong, but it does appear that way.
Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Nevada
| RCP AVERAGE | DATE | TRUMP (R) | HARRIS (D) | SPREAD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top Battlegrounds | 11/3 | 48.5 | 47.5 | Trump+1.0 |
| Arizona | November 3rd | 49.1 | 46.2 | Trump+2.9 |
| Nevada | November 3rd | 48.5 | 47.3 | Trump+1.2 |
| Wisconsin | November 3rd | 48.2 | 48.5 | Harris+0.3 |
| Michigan | November 3rd | 47.6 | 48.2 | Harris+0.6 |
| Pennsylvania | November 3rd | 48.3 | 48.0 | Trump+0.3 |
| North Carolina | November 3rd | 48.8 | 47.4 | Trump+1.4 |
| Georgia | November 3rd | 49.1 | 46.8 | Trump+2.3 |
Nostra
Diamond Member
- Oct 7, 2019
- 77,157
- 67,983
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How many?
para bellum
Diamond Member
2016 called, they want their polls back...
justoffal
Diamond Member
- Jun 29, 2013
- 34,116
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Just doesn't know when to shut up..... Nothing new.A final poll by the New York Times has Donald Trump behind Kamala Harris in four critical swing states: Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina and Wisconsin.
They are tied in Michigan and Pennsylvania and Trump is up by one point in Arizona. It's a razor-thin race with just two days to go to Election Day.
Presidential election recap: Kamala Harris surges in two swing states
U.S. ELECTION LIVE BLOG: Follow all the developments with just two days until Election Day.
View attachment 1035790
Harris and Trump Battle to the Wire in Swing States, Times/Siena Polls Find
Donald J. Trump has improved his standing in Pennsylvania even as late-deciding voters appear to be breaking for Kamala Harris.
******************
This election was always Trump’s to lose.
Of course Kamala’s secret weapon and her October surprise was Trump’s mouth and his spewing of his daily asininity.
Not good news for Trump as I think Trump fever has broken and the electorate is over him.
Trend lines are clear.
Could be wrong, but it does appear that way.
MarathonMike
Diamond Member
I didn't count on anything in 2022. I'm looking at DATA that says this election has the biggest shift in Hispanics and Black voters to GOP in decades.
EvilCat Breath
Diamond Member
- Sep 23, 2016
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They believe it's all women. Democrats completely discount all the pro life women and the women that attend the Trump events.
Independent thinker
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- Oct 15, 2015
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The latest from 538:A final poll by the New York Times has Donald Trump behind Kamala Harris in four critical swing states: Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina and Wisconsin.
They are tied in Michigan and Pennsylvania and Trump is up by one point in Arizona. It's a razor-thin race with just two days to go to Election Day.
Presidential election recap: Kamala Harris surges in two swing states
U.S. ELECTION LIVE BLOG: Follow all the developments with just two days until Election Day.
View attachment 1035790
Harris and Trump Battle to the Wire in Swing States, Times/Siena Polls Find
Donald J. Trump has improved his standing in Pennsylvania even as late-deciding voters appear to be breaking for Kamala Harris.
******************
This election was always Trump’s to lose.
Of course Kamala’s secret weapon and her October surprise was Trump’s mouth and his spewing of his daily asininity.
Not good news for Trump as I think Trump fever has broken and the electorate is over him.
Trend lines are clear.
Could be wrong, but it does appear that way.
Iowa
| Nov. 1-2 | 800 | LV | Emerson College | RealClearDefense | Harris | 45% | 54% | Trump | Trump | +9 |
| Nov. 1-2 | 782 | LV | AtlasIntel | Harris | 46% | 52% | Trump | Trump | +6 |
| Nov. 1-2 | 1,310 | LV | AtlasIntel | Harris | 47% | 50% | Trump | More | Trump | +4 |
| Nov. 1-2 | 2,049 | LV | AtlasIntel | Harris | 48% | 50% | Trump | Trump | +2 |
| Nov. 1-2 | 728 | LV | AtlasIntel | Harris | 49% | 50% | Trump | Trump | +1 |
| Nov. 1-2 | 1,198 | LV | AtlasIntel | Harris | 48% | 50% | Trump | Trump | +2 |
| Nov. 1-2 | 1,174 | LV | AtlasIntel | Harris | 48% | 50% | Trump | Trump | +3 |
| Nov. 1-2 | 967 | LV | AtlasIntel | Harris | 46% | 52% | Trump | Trump | +7 |
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