The difference is 678,827. Meaning the advantage that the dems are taking into election day, is not nearly as large as it was in 2020.
The total R vote- 586,416, is less than 2020, when it was 621,457. Repubs still have some votes in the bank for tomorrow.
This contradicts the democrat narrative that "Trump told his voters to vote/not vote early so they did, and that explains everything". If that was the case, the absolute R numbers would be higher today, and they aren't.
The reason repub share of the early vote is 33% (with fewer votes) and not 23% like 2020, is because dems have returned 700K fewer early votes compared to 2020.
*** A 408K deficit is easier to overcome than 1.08 million.