According to analysis from the think tank Third Way, states that voted for Donald Trump in recent presidential elections ("red states") have consistently experienced higher murder rates compared to states that voted for Joe Biden ("blue states"). This trend has been observed every year this century, from 2000 to 2022.
In both 2021 and 2022, the murder rate in red states was 33% higher than in blue states. In 2022, the average red state murder rate was 8.5 per 100,000 residents, compared to 6.4 per 100,000 in blue states.
This "red state murder gap" has generally increased over time. Third Way's analysis indicates that most states with the highest murder rates in 2022 voted for Donald Trump in recent elections. States like Mississippi, Louisiana, and Alabama, which frequently have high murder rates and vote Republican, have been among the top states for murder rates over the last two decades.
It's important to understand that crime statistics are complex and influenced by various factors, including socioeconomic conditions, law enforcement strategies, and reporting methods. The relationship between political control and crime rates can be subject to different interpretations and analyses.
Can political alignment reduce crime? Evidence from Chile - Volume 11 Issue 2
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