This is the most comprehensive analyses of what would happen if civil war were to break out in America I've come across...and it paints a very bleak outcome for the left.
A lot of these points have been brought up here but this guy really nails it down.
Interesting video. However, I do not believe America is headed or even close to a
shooting civil war 2.0. Rather, I think we've been (the U.S.A) engaged in a full blown cultural and technological
cold civil war for about six or seven decades, a war fought through the entertainment industry and academic ideology on and from campuses across the country. Further, I do believe that the ultimate aim of Democrat majority controlled states such as California and Washington is secession. Yes, I predict such states will either actually secede from "the Union" or at least threaten secession as extortion to gain more power and advance cultural war objectives.
Now, speaking to what an actual
shooting civil war 2.0 might look like, well . . . in my opinion, the opinion of a twenty-seven year Army veteran . . . what we'd at most see is as follows. We'd see governors and mayors of sanctuary states and cities using the combined might of their police and national guard forces to sort of keep out the Feds, and protect their rule and the rule of their ultra-liberal policies in those places. We might also see something very similar to the Paris Commune during the French Revolution in cities such as LA and Portland, where essentially those metropolitan centers of radical liberal culture become micro-nations unto themselves. As for regular US Military forces, I highly doubt they would be used domestically beyond a very basic crowd control and anti-insurrectionist/terrorist capacity. No sitting President, again in my opinion, would authorize use of heavy air bombardment against domestic population centers, unless the imminent danger was great enough to threaten the seat of our federal government itself. Mass desertion from regular, active duty forces for ideological purposes? The chances of that are very, very low.
The biggest fault I see in your hypothesis is the state of California using it's Nat Guard.
They like most Military personnel are right wing,and the vast majority of those troops in California dont even come from there,they're just stationed there.
I agree with you, academically and ideologically speaking. However, unit cohesion could very well rule the day if for instance say Governor Gavin Newsom called up whatever guard unit and set them to blockading LA from encroaching federal forces. I believe individual members of such units would follow orders for the deployment and be more concerned with protecting their fellow squad and platoon members than Googling the ideological-political motivations of those orders. This explanation would also hold water if whatever Governor effectively spun the reason for their deployment from say rebelling against the federal government, to protecting their homes and businesses and families from some kind of supposedly threatening or illegal encroachment of federal forces. The view up from boots on the ground is much different from the view down, particularly if your fellow troops' lives are under imminent threat.
What federal forces?
The defenders of the Constitution are not going to be federal forces.
As the guy stated in the video this isn't going to be a conventional war.
It will be a war of attrition,all you have to do is stop the flow of goods into the cities,in the day and age of daily shipment of food they'll be killing each other in a few weeks for a week old loaf of bread.
Cut the power and that exacerbates the situation.
Once the rioting starts they'll be to busy dealing with that.
Seems to me you're viewing a civil war 2.0 from an apocalyptic angle where society instantly breaks down all at once, less than a more realistic one, and I am not out to insult your take on the matter, but to rather provide what could be a more grounded view of the issue or possible scenarios. Indeed, regular military forces (federal forces, that is) are tasked with defending our Constitution and ensuring the continued function of federal political machinery. Viewing this from a ground up perspective,
if some kind of division occurred within either our federal or state government branches, conflict
could ignite on many fronts in many areas or pockets around the nation, but above all else, it is simply not possible in our modern America for such a division to occur in a geographically similar manner to 1862 with today's technology. Unless . . . unless states such as California, Washington, etc. either secede in an effort to form their own government, or cities within those states declare themselves independent city-states.
In the even that happens, secession in some form, the federally controlled military will not be ordered roll our armor divisions to either reverse secessionist states/cities or to breakthrough secessionist forces and arrest governors/mayors. The price would be too incredibly high in American lives, as would be use of regular Army/Air Force assets to bomb urban targets in these "rebel" areas. At most, the regular Army, etc. might be used to contain secessionist areas, but I doubt it, unless they'd be used maybe to protect D.C.
What you seem to be considering, speaking to a second civil war, is some sudden nationwide outbreak of shooting hostilities between ideologically divided American Citizens. That's just not gonna happen. Why? Because the moment armed Antifa or Patriot groups begin openly fighting each other, Federal Law Enforcement will put them down, and if the Feds can't do it, the regular Army will be called in to back the Feds up. Any such open fighting between those groups would immediately be deemed an insurrection, no matter who the government considers right or wrong ideologically, and stopped immediately.
The other scenario I haven't time to get in to is the geographic locations of regular military installations, nuclear weapons and other such federally controlled assets, which in the event of secession or some kind of open revolt would never be permitted to fall into the hands of secessionists, we'd better hope, which would present a whole new set of problems for D.C. and which I suppose if seized could be used as bargaining chips.