Statistikhengst
Diamond Member
- Banned
- #1
From 3 points behind Hilllary Clinton to 13 points behind her.
http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/ChristiePoll.pdf
1039 RV, MoE= +/-3.0
Clinton 50
Christie 37
undecided 12
margin: Clinton +13
Now, this is just one poll, but Marist had it at Clinton 48 / Christie 45 in December.
Wait and see if other polls are confirming this.
Other parts of the poll were actually very positive about Christie. You can find that information at the link.
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How did Marist do in the 2012 elections?
You can see that data here:
Statistikhengst's ELECTORAL POLITICS - 2013 and beyond: The moment of truth: how did the pollsters do?
Nationally, last Marist poll:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Ao6IyAPQ8DmmdDhyOXA2ay13c2ozTEVsOWlpTWNheEE#gid=2
(under NBC / WSJ)
Obama +1.
Obama won by +3.87.
So, Marist was off by three points to the RIGHT in 2012, and not to the left.
In state end polling, Marist polled 8 key battleground states. It got the winner in 7 of the 8 right. It called a perfect tie in Colorado, which makes it automatically wrong. It absolutely nailed Iowa. It was off to the Left in Ohio and Florida, but off to the Right in Virginia, New Hampshire, Nevada, Wisconsin and Colorado. It's average was mathematical Conservative bias of +2.
So, Marist is hardly a "Liberal" pollster.
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Again, this is just one poll, so don't read too much into the tea leaves. Let's see what other national polls post "Bridge-gate" say.
http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/ChristiePoll.pdf
1039 RV, MoE= +/-3.0
Clinton 50
Christie 37
undecided 12
margin: Clinton +13
Now, this is just one poll, but Marist had it at Clinton 48 / Christie 45 in December.
Wait and see if other polls are confirming this.
Other parts of the poll were actually very positive about Christie. You can find that information at the link.
-----------------------------------------------------------
How did Marist do in the 2012 elections?
You can see that data here:
Statistikhengst's ELECTORAL POLITICS - 2013 and beyond: The moment of truth: how did the pollsters do?
Nationally, last Marist poll:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Ao6IyAPQ8DmmdDhyOXA2ay13c2ozTEVsOWlpTWNheEE#gid=2
(under NBC / WSJ)
Obama +1.
Obama won by +3.87.
So, Marist was off by three points to the RIGHT in 2012, and not to the left.
In state end polling, Marist polled 8 key battleground states. It got the winner in 7 of the 8 right. It called a perfect tie in Colorado, which makes it automatically wrong. It absolutely nailed Iowa. It was off to the Left in Ohio and Florida, but off to the Right in Virginia, New Hampshire, Nevada, Wisconsin and Colorado. It's average was mathematical Conservative bias of +2.
So, Marist is hardly a "Liberal" pollster.
--------------------------------------------------------------
Again, this is just one poll, so don't read too much into the tea leaves. Let's see what other national polls post "Bridge-gate" say.