Can't you read or are you as myopic as your USMB buddies? The total number of people exonerated over a period of years is the number being analyzed; but, using proportional statistics and comparing each racial groups exonerations against their representation in the general populace is what all the fuss is about. But the total of exonerations is just a benchmark that may be just scratching the surface. The potential for thousands more wrongful convictions looms..
And I don't care that you can't disprove their claim!
The total number of people exonerated over a period of years is the number being analyzed; but, using proportional statistics and comparing each racial groups exonerations against their representation in the general populace is what all the fuss is about.
The exoneration rate compared to the general populace is irrelevant.
You have to compare it to the conviction rate.
If blacks are 60% of the convicted but 90% of the exonerated, that would hint that blacks are being railroaded.
But 7 times more likely convicted, 7 times more likely exonerated......not so much
Oh puleezze. And you claim to be a mathematician of note. HAHAHAHAH! You are a stooge that simply doesn't comprehend anything very well including math or written exchanges.
Do you see the word RATE in the my narrative that you just responded to? Its not there but you went off on a tirade about me comparing exoneration rates to populations and so on and so forth. Then you had the audacity to tell me how irrelevant that is! Son, STOP...you are going to make me crack a rib from laughing so hard at your dumb ass!
But to arrive at the exoneration rate in the first place you have to take the number of exonerations for each group and divide that by the total number of exonerations to get a percentage for each group. Then you; take the percentage of the respective groups as represented by their US population and compare that to the percentage of the total exonerations their group entails. So if one group makes up 47% of the total exonerations but is only 13 % of the general population, that means that group is being wrongfully convicted proportionally around 4 times the percentage of their population. That shows that a problem exists not only with with Law enforcement but throughout the entire justice system. But a comparison to the White exoneration rate revealed that Blacks were 7 times more likely to be wrongfully CONVICTED of murder than their White counterparts
That's essentially the same per capita methodology thrown in the faces of Blacks regarding Criminal statistics. So what's your complaint?
That was a rhetorical question because I know what your complaint is and I am familiar with the substance of it. My data is picking away at the formerly ironclad notion that race based crime statistics are infallible and you can't stand it. But thats another thread. Now lets look at the info presented in the link I posted to glean clues of how the researchers may have reached their conclusions. I disagree with your 7 in 7 out hypothesis because the wrongfully convicted total is fluid. The rate could go up or down but observing that the researchers are inclined to ascribe to the possibility that thousands more wrongfully convicted are waiting for their opportunity to be freed, I concur with their views.
And you claim to be a mathematician of note.
I did? Where?
I don't need to be a mathematician to poke holes in bad stats when I see them.
Its not there but you went off on a tirade about me comparing exoneration rates to populations and so on and so forth.
Exoneration rates is what the author said.
If you meant exoneration number, doesn't change my point in the least.
Total population doesn't come into play, total incarcerated population does.
But to arrive at the exoneration rate in the first place you have to take the number of exonerations for each group and divide that by the total number of exonerations to get a percentage for each group.
Yup. Half the murder exonerations were for blacks. 380/762
Then you; take the percentage of the respective groups as represented by their US population and compare that to the percentage of the total exonerations their group entails.
Irrelevant. You're not exonerated out of the total US population, just the incarcerated population.
So if one group makes up 47% of the total exonerations but is only 13 % of the general population, that means that group is being wrongfully convicted proportionally around 4 times the percentage of their population.
So if one group makes up 53.5% of the total convictions but is only 13 % of the general population, that means that group is being convicted proportionally around 4 times the percentage of their population.
But a comparison to the White exoneration rate revealed that Blacks were 7 times more likely to be wrongfully CONVICTED of murder than their White counterparts.
That's still bullshit math.
Let me try to give a simple example even you should understand.
Let's say there are 3000 convicted murderers.
1000 white, 1000 black and 1000 Inuit.
This year 10 white, 10 Inuit and 20 black murderers are exonerated.
The black exoneration rate is twice the white and Inuit exoneration rate.
It would be silly to say, "Whites have 5 times the population as blacks, therefore we will multiply 5 times the population by twice the exoneration rate and say blacks were 10 times more likely to be wrongfully convicted".
By that tortured "logic" the Inuit are wrongfully convicted 500 times more than whites when actually, the
same percentage of white and Inuit convicts, 1%, were innocent.
My data is picking away at the formerly ironclad notion that race based crime statistics are infallible
I've never made such a claim. People are not infallible. The statistics they collect are not infallible.