Actually they are hit or miss
But they did predict HIllary winning the election
And not just win.....they had her at 90%+ and could never find a way Trump could hit 270. It was embarrassing for them and the media......they need to get out of New York and DC.
They under sampled Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and it cost them.
I never understood why pollsters use a nationwide sample. It is irrelevant in evaluating the Electoral College.
They should sample the hell out of the dozen or so swing states and ignore the rest of the country
Yeah, I think state polls would be better, but I think they are not sampling the correct people in general.
Statistically, I think they do the best they can. Random is still random
But why sample anyone in California, NY, Texas, Alabama?
Might as well ring those states up as blue or red beforehand
Florida, Ohio, Virginia, N Carolina and now Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin need to be sampled to death........They will decide the 2020 election