Reports say the early-voting turnout by African-Americans has dropped by
up to 10% in North Carolina and by somewhat less
in Florida.
On Friday, a poll of 506 Pennsylvania voters by
Harper Polling showed Trump has the support of 18.46% of African-Americans. That’s 12.5 points more than Romney’s share of the national vote in 2012, and if it proves true during the ballot, that 18.46% African-American support translates into 2 point shift towards Trump. The poll also said another 4.6% were undecided.
The Harper poll is small, with an error margin of 4.4%, but an
October 30 poll of 1,249 likely voters in Pennsylvania showed Trump has 19% support among African Americans, while another 7% remain undecided. That poll has an error margin of 2.77%.
In next-door Michigan, two nights of a tracking poll conducted for
Fox 2 of 1,150 likely voters showed Trump with 14% support and 19 percent support, leaving Clinton with 83% and 79% support. That’s equivalent to a two-point shift from Clinton to Trump in the state.
In Florida, a Siena University poll showed that Trump had the support of
13% of African-Americans. More ominously for Clinton, she had the support of only 83%, while 4% said they didn’t know who to vote for. If Trump gets one-quarter of the 4%, he reaches 14% of the African-American vote, leaving Clinton with roughly 86%.
In Virginia, a survey by
Public Policy Polling taken in November 3 and November 4 showed Trump with
9% support and Clinton with 91% support. A
Remington Research automated poll of 1,106 likely voters in Virginia showed Trump with
19%, and Clinton with just 78% support.
In Georgia, a Nov. 2 to Nov. 3 poll of 1,000 likely voters showed Trump with
12% of the African-American vote, leaving Clinton with 85%.
Oh my oh my.
