basquebromance
Diamond Member
- Nov 26, 2015
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The GOP only needs to net one seat to win control of the Senate. Their top targets: Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and New Hampshire.
Meanwhile, Dems are eyeing 2 states that Biden won and Republicans hold: Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
www.politico.com
excerpts:
Democrats’ path to saving their narrow Senate majority comes down to defending four states this fall. And in all of them, President Joe Biden is underwater in the polls.
“In these four states, these are senators just doing the work, keeping their head down, getting things done for their states while the Republicans are obviously tearing each other apart in these primaries,” said Martha McKenna, a Democratic ad maker who previously worked for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.
“They are not people who go looking for conflict, they’re not grandstanders. They’re hard working senators willing to say, ‘Yes, I agree with Biden on child tax credits or health care, but look, I’ve got an issue on this issue, or that issue.’”
Less than two years ago, Biden carried Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and New Hampshire. Today, however, his approval rating is dangerously low in each of them. In Nevada, a Suffolk University poll released last week put the president’s approval rating at an anemic 35 percent.
Numbers like that explain why the four senators haven’t mentioned Biden or touted the Democratic brand in their ads this year. Nor have the liberal outside groups buying television spots on their behalf tied them to Biden. In Nevada, when the Democratic super PAC American Bridge launched an ad Tuesday praising Biden’s accomplishments, there was no mention of Cortez Masto, the Democratic senator atop the ticket this year.
Both Warnock and Kelly have declined to answer questions about whether they would welcome Biden campaigning with them. But, when presented with the opportunity Tuesday, Hassan chose to welcome him, appearing with the president on Tuesday in Portsmouth, where he touted passage of the bipartisan infrastructure bill — and her role in passing it. Afterward, Hassan tweeted that she would continue to work with Biden and her “colleagues on both sides of the aisle” to deliver results for constituents.
The event stood in stark contrast to Hassan’s recent visit to Texas and Arizona, where she filmed a video in front of the border wall, calling on the Biden administration to provide more resources to the Border Patrol and to improve “physical barriers” along the border.
“Her going to the Texas border, standing in front of Donald Trump’s wall and calling for more border infrastructure is a lot more than just concern for Title 42. It shows the serious issues that she has with voters,” said Dave Carney, a Republican strategist in New Hampshire, who is working for Republican Chuck Morse’s Senate campaign.
“It’s not that I think she’s in trouble or Republicans think she’s in trouble, she knows she’s in trouble.”
Carney joked that Republicans will need to list “President Biden and his policies as a massive in-kind contribution,” calling his presidency “the gift that keeps on giving” and likening his performance to a “‘Saturday Night Live’ parody.”
Alluding to polling suggesting Biden’s erosion among key Democratic constituencies, Chris Wilson, CEO of the polling firm WPA Intelligence, said, “Democrats don’t have the ability to incite the minority vote like they used to.”
Wilson, the pollster for Republican Adam Laxalt’s campaign in Nevada, pointed to both internal and external surveys of likely voters that show he is maintaining a lead over Cortez Masto.
“As you watch Republicans talk about education, when we used to run away from it, and Republicans run massive outreach campaigns to minorities when we’ve done a pretty pathetic job of it the last few cycles — those are going to be game-changers for us,” he said.
Meanwhile, Dems are eyeing 2 states that Biden won and Republicans hold: Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Biden’s dismal poll numbers imperil Dem Senate control
The president’s popularity is dangerously low in the four states where Democratic incumbents are most endangered.
www.politico.com
excerpts:
Democrats’ path to saving their narrow Senate majority comes down to defending four states this fall. And in all of them, President Joe Biden is underwater in the polls.
“In these four states, these are senators just doing the work, keeping their head down, getting things done for their states while the Republicans are obviously tearing each other apart in these primaries,” said Martha McKenna, a Democratic ad maker who previously worked for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.
“They are not people who go looking for conflict, they’re not grandstanders. They’re hard working senators willing to say, ‘Yes, I agree with Biden on child tax credits or health care, but look, I’ve got an issue on this issue, or that issue.’”
Less than two years ago, Biden carried Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and New Hampshire. Today, however, his approval rating is dangerously low in each of them. In Nevada, a Suffolk University poll released last week put the president’s approval rating at an anemic 35 percent.
Numbers like that explain why the four senators haven’t mentioned Biden or touted the Democratic brand in their ads this year. Nor have the liberal outside groups buying television spots on their behalf tied them to Biden. In Nevada, when the Democratic super PAC American Bridge launched an ad Tuesday praising Biden’s accomplishments, there was no mention of Cortez Masto, the Democratic senator atop the ticket this year.
Both Warnock and Kelly have declined to answer questions about whether they would welcome Biden campaigning with them. But, when presented with the opportunity Tuesday, Hassan chose to welcome him, appearing with the president on Tuesday in Portsmouth, where he touted passage of the bipartisan infrastructure bill — and her role in passing it. Afterward, Hassan tweeted that she would continue to work with Biden and her “colleagues on both sides of the aisle” to deliver results for constituents.
The event stood in stark contrast to Hassan’s recent visit to Texas and Arizona, where she filmed a video in front of the border wall, calling on the Biden administration to provide more resources to the Border Patrol and to improve “physical barriers” along the border.
“Her going to the Texas border, standing in front of Donald Trump’s wall and calling for more border infrastructure is a lot more than just concern for Title 42. It shows the serious issues that she has with voters,” said Dave Carney, a Republican strategist in New Hampshire, who is working for Republican Chuck Morse’s Senate campaign.
“It’s not that I think she’s in trouble or Republicans think she’s in trouble, she knows she’s in trouble.”
Carney joked that Republicans will need to list “President Biden and his policies as a massive in-kind contribution,” calling his presidency “the gift that keeps on giving” and likening his performance to a “‘Saturday Night Live’ parody.”
Alluding to polling suggesting Biden’s erosion among key Democratic constituencies, Chris Wilson, CEO of the polling firm WPA Intelligence, said, “Democrats don’t have the ability to incite the minority vote like they used to.”
Wilson, the pollster for Republican Adam Laxalt’s campaign in Nevada, pointed to both internal and external surveys of likely voters that show he is maintaining a lead over Cortez Masto.
“As you watch Republicans talk about education, when we used to run away from it, and Republicans run massive outreach campaigns to minorities when we’ve done a pretty pathetic job of it the last few cycles — those are going to be game-changers for us,” he said.
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