Trump picks up more delegates from Pennsylvania
I know alot of people were afraid that somehow cruz was going to get all 54 unbound delegates even though he lost every county in PA. Trump now has 50 delegates from PA and may get even more.
CNN has the PLEDGED delegate count at
991
2016 Election Center
After he wins Indiana on Tuesday he will be up to 1048 ( he leads Indiana by 6.3% in the RCP average with less than a week to go)
IMHO, Here is the WORST CASE scenario:
He leaves Indiana with 1048 Pledged delegates. He then needs only 189 out of the 445 remaining delegates
He will win all 51 of the NJ delegates = 138 (leads by 28 RCP)
He will get at least half of West Virginia's 34 (17 minimum) = 121 (leads by 20 RCP)
He will get at least 10 from New Mexico's 24 = 111 (tied with Cruz RCP)
Washington State has 44 - he'll get at least 15 of those =96 (no polling data)
Oregon has 28 - he will get at least 10 of those = 86 (no poling data)
All of these are WORST CASE scenarios. Trump will likely do much better.
Leaving California and it's 172 delegates - Winning the state gets him 13 delegates = 73
Then he will only have to win 25 of of the 53 districts (each district has 3 delegates) = +2
Trump is leading California by 17.4% in the RCP average.
