everybody is a great prognosticator three years out. I guess the overriding fact that the author of the OP fails to consider is that the span of memory for the electorate is frighteningly short. Obama will not be on the ballot and, in all probability, Hillary will. The GOP didn't HAVE to lose in '08, despite the abysmal failure of Dubya... all they needed to do was to put up a candidate who gave the impression that he had enough life left in him to live through a term. The choice of Caribou Barbie as the Mummy's running mate sealed the deal. And again... worst president in history, you say... economy in shambles, you say... stimulus a total failure, you say... and what does the GOP do? They run Mr. Magic Underwear, and borrowed Batman's sidekick for a running mate. Clearly, the fractured GOP has not figured out how to get their various factions on the same page, and pick a candidate that can capture the middle of the bell curve of the political spectrum of voters. Their process in both '08 AND '12 was a pathetic joke to watch. All Obama needed to be able to do was to be able to fog a mirror and he appeared more electable than the GOP's primary winners. Hillary will have NONE of his economic failings dragging her down, she'll have nearly every voter without a penis giving her serious consideration simply because of her gender, not to mention her powerful resume. Who will the GOP let survive the bloodbath of its primary process to emerge to stand against her? And will that person be as much of a joke as the previous two candidates have been?
I am loath to prognosticate about what will happen in 2016, but I would put ten bens on Hillary today without batting an eye.