Decus
Platinum Member
Climate models are often accused of not reflecting the complex nature of our magnetosphere, atmosphere and planet. A recent study now states that a massive hole in the ozone layer that has existed since the 1980s was just discovered. The hole effects some 50% of the planet and warns that it will have a negative effect on humans and the ecosystem.
Can climate models be considered "settled science" when something like a massive hole in the ozone hasn't been accounted for?
"The discovery of the whole-year ozone hole over the tropics came as a surprise to the scientific community, since it was not predicted by conventional photochemical models."
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"Its existence could cause a serious global concern as it can lead to increases in ground-level UV radiation and affect 50% of Earth’s surface area, which is home to approximately 50% of the world’s population."
"Moreover, since ozone loss is well-known to lead to stratospheric cooling, the presence of the all-season tropical ozone hole and the seasonal polar ozone holes is equivalent to the formation of three ‘temperature holes’ in the global lower stratosphere."
www.sci-news.com
phys.org
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Can climate models be considered "settled science" when something like a massive hole in the ozone hasn't been accounted for?
"The discovery of the whole-year ozone hole over the tropics came as a surprise to the scientific community, since it was not predicted by conventional photochemical models."
....
"Its existence could cause a serious global concern as it can lead to increases in ground-level UV radiation and affect 50% of Earth’s surface area, which is home to approximately 50% of the world’s population."
"Moreover, since ozone loss is well-known to lead to stratospheric cooling, the presence of the all-season tropical ozone hole and the seasonal polar ozone holes is equivalent to the formation of three ‘temperature holes’ in the global lower stratosphere."
Huge All-Season Ozone Hole Discovered over Tropics | Sci.News
University of Waterloo’s Dr. Qing-Bin Lu has discovered a large, all-season ozone hole in the lower stratosphere over the tropics (30 deg N - 30 deg S).
www.sci-news.com
Discovery reveals large, year-round ozone hole over tropics
An ozone hole, seven times larger than the Antarctic ozone hole, is currently sitting over tropical regions and has been since the 1980s, according to a Canadian researcher.
Discovery reveals large, year-round ozone hole over tropics
Scientist reveal a large, all-season ozone hole in the lower stratosphere over the tropics comparable in depth to that of the well-known springtime Antarctic hole, but roughly seven times greater in area. The observed data agree well with the cosmic-ray-driven electron reaction (CRE) model and...
www.sciencedaily.com
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