GOP could lose the House in 2014
We're still digesting the details, but we wanted to give you a first look at these new polls because the results are so stunning. Here are a few details:
- In 17 districts a Democrat would likely beat the incumbent Republican if the election were held today—and that's the magic number, as Democrats need 17 seats to take back the House from Tea Party Republicans.
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- Majorities of respondents in every poll indicated that they "oppose Congress shutting down major activities of the federal government as a way to stop the health care law from being put into place."
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- When voters learn that their Republican Representative supported the government shutdown over Obamacare, they're even more likely to support the Democratic candidate—with four more seats flipping Democratic when people learn that news.
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- The Tea Party's approval is in the gutter and some of their greatest champions are already trailing—like Steve King from Iowa who is known for immigrant-bashing, and is now trailing a Democratic opponent 45% to 49%.
It's a lovely poll, but without mobilization, we got nothin. Plus, how far out are the elections? The American people are notorious for short attention spans.
The next month or so should give us a better idea of where everybody stands - it's really going to depend on how badly things unfold.
And the TPM congress critters don't seem to have any sort of realization that they are damaging other GOP critters who aren't so blessed on the gerrymandered front.
Depends on how long it goes on. I still remember very clearly the shutdown in the 90's, because I was active duty Navy stationed at PSD Newport RI, and we lost 2/3rds of our workforce when the civilians were furloughed. Not only did we still have to get the students transferred, but we had to do all the other day to day things, because the military was still working. I also remember helping out people by sending them to Navy Relief because they needed money to pay for rent, food and utilities, and we weren't going to get paid until it started back up.
Matter of fact, a couple of years back when the Republicans started talking about shutting it down again, I started to save every dollar I could, just in case they actually went through with their threat. Well, it seems that I was right to do so, and I'll be okay for a month or two, but if it goes over that, I'm screwed.
Are people going to forget this one? Nope, because the GOP was good enough to stand in front of cameras and get on Twitter to write their own attack ads, because many of them stated how great it was that they shut it down.
2014 is gonna be a bloodbath for the GOP, and possibly 2016 as well. If Hillary runs in 2016, we're going to have another Democratic President.
Besides..................in the 90's, not many non federal workers paid it much attention, because it didn't really affect them and it was over in 24 days.
However......................I can guarantee you that anyone serving during the last one remembers it quite well.